TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

DePaul Blue Demons vs. Wichita State Shockers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DePaul Blue Demonsof DePaul Blue Demons, Wichita State Shockers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,347 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed Wichita State Shockers55c9,100$4,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,995.611662.1%72 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed DePaul Blue Demons29c3,441$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,441.137839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked DePaul Blue Demons45c2,987$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.131,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed DePaul Blue Demons45c2,774$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.92,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wichita State Shockers71c2,209$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.4212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed DePaul Blue Demons46c2,090$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.571,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Wichita State Shockers73c1,276$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.481,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked DePaul Blue Demons45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed Wichita State Shockers5c774.06$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.48140%0 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed DePaul Blue Demons56c686.08$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.293,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed DePaul Blue Demons27c666.44$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.52832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wichita State Shockers74c626$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.172,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed DePaul Blue Demons46c622.53$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.45,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed DePaul Blue Demons71c521$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.113,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed DePaul Blue Demons39c504$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.7613219.7%26 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked DePaul Blue Demons45c400.35$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.915939%62 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked DePaul Blue Demons46c341.36$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.5877142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked DePaul Blue Demons29c299.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9929444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked DePaul Blue Demons53c207.13$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.936428.1%18 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Wichita State Shockers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked DePaul Blue Demons50c189$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.851,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Wichita State Shockers71c176.86$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5755657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200e…7d37backed Wichita State Shockers54c146$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed DePaul Blue Demons52c137$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.731,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked DePaul Blue Demons65c130$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.511560%69 W · 46 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed DePaul Blue Demons80c110$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked DePaul Blue Demons50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5025438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wichita State Shockers49c98.54$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.141,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wichita State Shockers19c92.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.565,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe944…0837backed Wichita State Shockers25c68.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.482250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wichita State Shockers20c56.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.354,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca51…ca40backed DePaul Blue Demons78c51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.221040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Wichita State Shockers71c48.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.673549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c9…bacfbacked Wichita State Shockers22c47.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.482737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wichita State Shockers57c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.482,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed DePaul Blue Demons31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.611542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06ed…b908backed DePaul Blue Demons35c36.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.541643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf739…8167backed Wichita State Shockers65c36.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.541656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7531…3f6fbacked Wichita State Shockers69c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.461861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e99…611dbacked DePaul Blue Demons31c34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.462070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Wichita State Shockers50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515442.9%66 W · 88 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed DePaul Blue Demons54c28.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.392,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed DePaul Blue Demons72c27.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.933467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf90c…f49cbacked Wichita State Shockers73c27.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bf2…24d7backed DePaul Blue Demons52c26.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.533429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed DePaul Blue Demons44c25.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2510037%37 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b4f…ce1fbacked DePaul Blue Demons78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc11d…421bbacked Wichita State Shockers71c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.643956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.