NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70c96e64495225cccb677f52f9043dc4a60a0eb0f4f222c5255ac5ab50809a29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Islanders, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $791,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $813,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $791,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Flames | 52c | 160,018$83,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,808.45 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Islanders | 48c | 150,000$71,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,500 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Flames | 53c | 106,604$56,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,103.77 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Flames | 53c | 105,666$56,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,663.25 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Islanders | 47c | 80,137$37,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,664.39 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flames | 51c | 54,822$27,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,886.78 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 32c | 52,923$16,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,981.38 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Flames | 68c | 38,000$25,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,159.96 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Islanders | 46c | 37,916$17,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,441.58 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…2a94backed Islanders | 0c | 25,964$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Islanders | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Islanders | 48c | 19,595$9,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,418.54 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Islanders | 47c | 18,085$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.99 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Islanders | 48c | 15,770$7,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,569.49 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Islanders | 49c | 15,429$7,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,558.42 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 47c | 15,039$7,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,048.28 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Flames | 68c | 14,733$10,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.66 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Flames | 68c | 12,600$8,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,032 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Flames | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,111.06 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Islanders | 37c | 9,354$3,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.91 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Flames | 68c | 8,718$5,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.28 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Islanders | 0c | 8,305$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Flames | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.98 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Flames | 68c | 6,470$4,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.6 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Islanders | 49c | 6,000$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Islanders | 49c | 5,227$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Islanders | 48c | 5,092$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.06 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Flames | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Islanders | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Islanders | 48c | 4,830$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.22 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Flames | 68c | 4,613$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.05 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Islanders | 48c | 4,321$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.13 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd009…a1adbacked Flames | 50c | 4,132$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Islanders | 44c | 4,093$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.69 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Islanders | 37c | 4,069$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.5 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.38 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Islanders | 47c | 3,292$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 48c | 3,181$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.94 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Islanders | 47c | 3,165$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.55 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Islanders | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Islanders | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Islanders | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Islanders | 51c | 2,932$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Flames | 68c | 2,918$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.68 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Islanders | 48c | 2,917$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Islanders | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Islanders | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Islanders | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Islanders | 47c | 2,457$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.79 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 40c | 2,366$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.2 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Islanders | 34c | 2,266$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.81 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc7…0793backed Flames | 50c | 2,209$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e0…66d0backed Islanders | 50c | 2,199$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a2…6626backed Islanders | 51c | 2,101$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…eef6backed Flames | 50c | 2,097$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6513…1c93backed Islanders | 50c | 2,092$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Islanders | 47c | 2,086$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.42 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdc…b974backed Islanders | 50c | 2,058$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Islanders | 49c | 2,035$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.15 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Flames | 80c | 2,023$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.85 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flames | 67c | 2,016$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.79 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Islanders | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Islanders | 48c | 1,986$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.64 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b43…8ebdbacked Islanders | 32c | 1,875$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Islanders | 49c | 1,857$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.16 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Islanders | 48c | 1,809$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.34 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flames | 52c | 1,804$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.5 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Islanders | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Islanders | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 63c | 1,594$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.41 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flames | 50c | 1,521$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.18 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 61c | 1,471$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Islanders | 33c | 1,437$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.25 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Islanders | 49c | 1,383$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.53 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Islanders | 1c | 1,222$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Islanders | 33c | 1,177$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Islanders | 47c | 1,165$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.4 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Flames | 51c | 1,110$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.14 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flames | 74c | 1,103$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.99 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Islanders | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…9b7bbacked Flames | 51c | 1,077$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Islanders | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Islanders | 49c | 1,008$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.88 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Islanders | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Islanders | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Islanders | 49c | 999.99$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.21 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Flames | 49c | 999.93$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.97 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Islanders | 20c | 996.72$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.52 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e1…8b17backed Flames | 66c | 995.18$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Islanders | 5c | 960.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Islanders | 17c | 957.58$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.49 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Islanders | 49c | 937.1$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.18 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…f223backed Islanders | 32c | 912.42$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Islanders | 30c | 881.2$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.7 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Islanders | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Islanders | 36c | 823.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Islanders | 29c | 779.75$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.28 | 227 | 28.2%64 W · 163 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Flamesthis page
- Islanders vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.