TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Flames: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,310

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,760 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfda1…6253backed Under48c10,600$5,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0881070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d6c…853cbacked Over52c9,700$5,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6566100%6 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x81ae…4f72backed Under48c6,300$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,02430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3881…fe1abacked Under48c6,123$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x566a…067ebacked Under48c6,109$2,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,932.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d2d…6374backed Under48c6,022$2,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,890.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d98…2065backed Under48c5,989$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2871…55e4backed Over52c5,500$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa4…c05fbacked Under48c5,300$2,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,54430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e0d…6d51backed Over52c4,800$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4f…2e2bbacked Over52c4,800$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x002c…7291backed Under48c4,300$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf6d…eacabacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d6…0c75backed Over52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x321d…31a9backed Over52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x953f…282dbacked Over52c3,311$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4c…e7bebacked Over53c3,291$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a52…cb11backed Under48c3,200$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea43…4300backed Over52c3,140$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b4…4752backed Over52c3,125$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a86…24b6backed Over53c3,119$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5366…1671backed Under48c3,015$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6331…8391backed Over52c3,013$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc79d…5d7abacked Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.9933345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf14e…ce0abacked Over52c2,991$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d6…a142backed Over52c2,977$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a1…a0b0backed Over52c2,898$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec84…3d08backed Under48c2,802$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf045…d17bbacked Under48c2,802$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6df…ff02backed Over52c2,788$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce4…7ce7backed Under48c2,632$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b25…b788backed Under48c2,498$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over54c2,441$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.691,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe870…9f2bbacked Under48c2,414$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c62…64d0backed Over52c2,389$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ef…864fbacked Under48c2,253$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3969…e410backed Under48c2,080$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ec…5914backed Over52c2,033$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6240…c9bebacked Under48c2,023$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d1…53d9backed Under48c2,020$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x304d…bf03backed Over52c2,012$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5e…dce3backed Over52c2,011$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x689e…3a7ebacked Over52c1,882$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Under48c1,727$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.7264242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…3f06backed Over52c1,700$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8108…63b9backed Under48c1,616$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4f…ee92backed Under48c1,602$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f75…e9f7backed Under48c1,600$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd739…738dbacked Over52c1,558$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over53c1,544$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.486852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaecb…fdf0backed Under48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2f1…8516backed Over52c1,424$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under48c1,412$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.1417057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef5f…2fc3backed Under48c1,410$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…4caabacked Over52c1,336$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f96…3419backed Over52c1,322$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8169…209dbacked Under47c1,264$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eee…58f4backed Over52c1,233$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…7629backed Under47c1,187$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over52c1,150$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55227547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…4713backed Over52c1,101$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe155…955bbacked Over52c1,101$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x637b…2bc8backed Under47c1,096$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over53c1,034$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.0230855.5%171 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f35…88c9backed Under47c1,024$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3533…d028backed Over52c1,001$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81d3…6cf4backed Under47c931$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7582…109abacked Under47c908$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x061d…d39cbacked Over52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d4b…7b18backed Over52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+52%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over52c895$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.675155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec55…da41backed Over52c806$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d93…e177backed Over52c803$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb5…96b5backed Over52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f9a…aea3backed Under48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ba…0b1fbacked Over52c780$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under46c779.82$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.7236038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x663a…dd76backed Over52c741$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5103…4757backed Over52c727$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa6b…06cabacked Over52c727$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1736…accbbacked Over52c702$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1678…c5bdbacked Under48c637$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2c…49a2backed Over52c616.63$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.981553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3d…4ab1backed Under48c616.63$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.981435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffd0…3c06backed Over52c555$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe407…21d8backed Over52c458$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under46c444$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2449546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c385.83$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.22,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3648552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under9c352$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.851,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa69c…daa6backed Over52c339$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13820444.6%91 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over53c285.28$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0811547%54 W · 61 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1969…a09cbacked Under48c208.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005050%25 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9230952.4%162 W · 147 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Under8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef5…316cbacked Over52c155$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c150.04$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.022,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c149.71$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.012,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.