Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Penn Quakers vs. Columbia Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9f0d99c469af0d8f869a451f3f538f2727fcfcd6f972aeb7d9ac0f09df4c27f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Columbia Lionsof Penn Quakers, Columbia Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Penn Quakers | 13c | 15,171$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.19 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Columbia Lions | 68c | 2,500$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Penn Quakers | 33c | 1,256$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.45 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penn Quakers | 32c | 1,247$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Columbia Lions | 75c | 1,203$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.69 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Penn Quakers | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Columbia Lions | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Penn Quakers | 12c | 592$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Columbia Lions | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Penn Quakers | 23c | 464.49$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Penn Quakers | 31c | 387.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Penn Quakers | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Columbia Lions | 78c | 267$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Penn Quakers | 14c | 213.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Columbia Lions | 67c | 196$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…d13abacked Columbia Lions | 74c | 168.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Columbia Lions | 69c | 145.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Columbia Lions | 69c | 145.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Penn Quakers | 33c | 144.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Columbia Lions | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penn Quakers | 31c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Penn Quakers | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penn Quakers | 25c | 95.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Penn Quakers | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Columbia Lions | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Penn Quakers | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Penn Quakers | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Columbia Lions | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Columbia Lions | 68c | 28.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e99…611dbacked Columbia Lions | 67c | 24.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Columbia Lions | 73c | 17.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Columbia Lions | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…af63backed Columbia Lions | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penn Quakers vs. Columbia Lionsthis page
- Penn Quakers vs. Columbia Lions: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: Columbia Lions (-5.5)Penn Quakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.