Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Penn Quakers vs. Columbia Lions: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x724cf357b5243f8ec161a1232b1ca8f7720b76546881128b738f1194cd06cdad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 52c | 57,576$30,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,030.91 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 49c | 29,500$14,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,045 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 10,015$4,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,107.98 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 6,678$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 4,705$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.71 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.09 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 1,554$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.82 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.64 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 48c | 885$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 56c | 713$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.28 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 45c | 556$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.8 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 48c | 458.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.33 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 442.49$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.67 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 49c | 368.75$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.06 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 47c | 227.28$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.57 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 46c | 175.16$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 45c | 174.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 116.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 47c | 105.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 69.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 58c | 56.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 49c | 45.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penn Quakers vs. Columbia Lions: O/U 151.5this page
- Penn Quakers vs. Columbia LionsColumbia Lions won
- Spread: Columbia Lions (-5.5)Penn Quakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.