NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55aef230faf5eae10e203514cbda2439fa10c48e247d89de8d687db6dac5130b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,674,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,380,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,674,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 708 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Lakers | 44c | 1,011,416$448,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448,663.56 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Warriors | 56c | 558,998$310,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248,103.43 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Warriors | 78c | 340,680$264,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,795.07 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Lakers | 43c | 227,991$97,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,756.2 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Warriors | 56c | 222,507$125,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,507.42 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 31c | 201,909$63,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,047.13 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Warriors | 57c | 175,469$100,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,451.75 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Warriors | 56c | 175,000$98,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,749.95 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Warriors | 65c | 126,582$81,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,602.16 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lakers | 44c | 106,806$46,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,994.73 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lakers | 44c | 102,398$45,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,055.09 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Lakers | 44c | 91,211$40,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,132.64 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lakers | 44c | 82,186$36,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,162.01 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Lakers | 21c | 56,479$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Warriors | 55c | 41,366$22,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,614.7 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Lakers | 43c | 25,742$11,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,069.03 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Lakers | 31c | 25,548$7,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,837.27 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Warriors | 68c | 24,591$16,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,943.6 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Warriors | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,799.94 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Warriors | 57c | 18,880$10,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,118.4 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Warriors | 56c | 16,877$9,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,470.23 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Lakers | 13c | 15,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Warriors | 58c | 14,709$8,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250.24 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Lakers | 45c | 13,650$6,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,074.12 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Lakers | 13c | 13,279$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.5 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 14c | 13,251$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Warriors | 55c | 11,111$6,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.95 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…64a0backed Lakers | 44c | 10,983$4,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,788.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Warriors | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…b789backed Lakers | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lakers | 25c | 9,622$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.87 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Warriors | 70c | 9,478$6,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.68 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Lakers | 39c | 8,724$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418.96 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Warriors | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Lakers | 11c | 7,511$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 72c | 7,384$5,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.51 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 56c | 7,071$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.24 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Warriors | 70c | 6,470$4,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.48 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Lakers | 26c | 5,680$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Warriors | 56c | 5,586$3,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.6 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Lakers | 4c | 5,419$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.05 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…8a3dbacked Lakers | 38c | 5,237$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 19c | 5,202$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.13 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Warriors | 66c | 5,163$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.84 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Lakers | 43c | 5,157$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.6 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Warriors | 56c | 5,053$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.63 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…ea6bbacked Warriors | 63c | 4,900$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…996cbacked Lakers | 23c | 4,241$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Lakers | 19c | 4,138$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.72 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Warriors | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Warriors | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lakers | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.97 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Lakers | 32c | 3,900$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.99 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe0…542ebacked Lakers | 15c | 3,800$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Lakers | 32c | 3,750$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Warriors | 65c | 3,719$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.15 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Warriors | 57c | 3,675$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.25 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Warriors | 57c | 3,600$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Warriors | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Lakers | 40c | 3,498$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.87 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Lakers | 41c | 3,456$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 75c | 3,440$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.17 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Warriors | 63c | 3,414$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.29 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Lakers | 8c | 3,215$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.9 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 56c | 3,195$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.8 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe945…a5cbbacked Warriors | 63c | 3,176$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0b…f5ebbacked Warriors | 59c | 3,110$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Warriors | 54c | 3,088$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.47 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 57c | 3,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Lakers | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Warriors | 74c | 2,521$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.1 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Warriors | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…278cbacked Lakers | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Lakers | 44c | 2,340$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.48 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Warriors | 57c | 2,326$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.18 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Warriors | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Warriors | 66c | 2,262$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.63 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 55c | 2,225$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.38 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Lakers | 27c | 2,188$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Lakers | 43c | 2,093$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Warriors | 55c | 2,061$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.49 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Warriors | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Lakers | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…668bbacked Warriors | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Warriors | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Warriors | 56c | 1,964$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.29 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Warriors | 57c | 1,960$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.38 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 75c | 1,921$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.96 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Lakers | 1c | 1,901$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Warriors | 57c | 1,818$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.74 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Warriors | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 56c | 1,785$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.46 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda05…8212backed Lakers | 10c | 1,774$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Warriors | 67c | 1,760$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.14 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Warriors | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 41c | 1,712$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.8 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…6507backed Lakers | 23c | 1,651$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.9 | 173 | 31.2%54 W · 119 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Warriors | 62c | 1,617$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.8 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Lakersthis page
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.