TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6722…278c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$372.2
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.8
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$483.13
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$370.93
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+607%+$121.4
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$240.07
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$27.94
Athletics vs. Red Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$95.74
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-82.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+129.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$111.78
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+123.6%+$228.96
Cardinals vs. 49ersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Northwesternbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.88
BYU vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Mercury vs. Lynxbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$84.92
Richmond Spiders vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$138.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,693Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.6%+$1,178.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+51.5%+$102
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$465
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$297.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,039.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.