MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x086efb44437dd578f602273764db2ef4bfd4f57f776fffa66456467d8c411838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Cubs, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $465,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $466,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $465,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Cubs | 44c | 322,842$142,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142,050.35 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Reds | 56c | 195,935$109,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,211.43 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 56c | 33,730$18,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,841.35 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 41c | 31,186$12,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,667.49 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Reds | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.97 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Reds | 56c | 27,387$15,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,050.26 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Reds | 56c | 18,110$10,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,968.2 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Reds | 73c | 18,040$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840.18 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Reds | 56c | 15,653$8,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,820.31 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 16c | 12,820$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.06 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Reds | 56c | 9,080$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.2 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cubs | 43c | 7,327$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.57 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Reds | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.86 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs | 43c | 5,300$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 56c | 5,004$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.75 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Reds | 56c | 4,290$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.6 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cubs | 29c | 4,186$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.55 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Reds | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…e51cbacked Reds | 57c | 3,753$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Reds | 56c | 3,570$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.8 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 31c | 3,503$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…ba30backed Cubs | 44c | 3,256$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Cubs | 45c | 3,200$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 25c | 3,124$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.35 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Cubs | 44c | 2,780$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.16 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Reds | 55c | 2,673$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Cubs | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…2c56backed Reds | 56c | 2,025$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Reds | 55c | 2,015$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.27 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 55c | 1,939$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.75 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Reds | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Reds | 52c | 1,755$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.27 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…efdbbacked Reds | 56c | 1,693$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 35c | 1,600$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cubs | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cubs | 1c | 1,284$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Reds | 78c | 1,041$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.14 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Cubs | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cubs | 44c | 999.88$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.68 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Reds | 56c | 999.41$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.18 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 28c | 980.3$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Cubs | 40c | 882.8$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.12 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Reds | 69c | 850$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Cubs | 22c | 780.4$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.69 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Reds | 56c | 754$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.12 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Reds | 55c | 750$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Cubs | 14c | 725.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.41 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cubs | 43c | 660$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Cubs | 47c | 644.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Cubs | 38c | 578.4$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.79 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 60c | 555.8$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.32 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Cubs | 55c | 549.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 26c | 515.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cubs | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.95 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Reds | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cubs | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Reds | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Cubs | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Reds | 55c | 499.96$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Cubs | 45c | 486.89$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.1 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Reds | 56c | 486.66$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.13 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…211bbacked Cubs | 44c | 482.44$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Reds | 55c | 477.32$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.79 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Reds | 57c | 459$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.37 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…d24bbacked Reds | 56c | 455.36$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.36 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…8ca8backed Cubs | 44c | 455.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cubs | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Cubs | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Reds | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Reds | 56c | 419.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Reds | 56c | 418$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.92 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…4c02backed Cubs | 44c | 402.1$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 61c | 377$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cubs | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…d01fbacked Reds | 57c | 345.96$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Reds | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Cubs | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Cubs | 45c | 327.27$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Cubs | 44c | 284.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Cubs | 41c | 244.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…86c8backed Reds | 63c | 240$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Reds | 57c | 236.47$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Cubs | 44c | 227.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Cubs | 32c | 224.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1215backed Cubs | 45c | 223.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cubs | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Cubs | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…4341backed Cubs | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Reds | 57c | 220$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cubs | 45c | 216.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cubs | 44c | 213.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Cubs | 44c | 210.11$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Cubs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Cubs | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Cubs | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Cubs | 44c | 194.85$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Reds | 56c | 184.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Reds | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cubs vs. Redsthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.