TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Cavaliers, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,072,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,110,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,072,738 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Cavaliers54c373,899$201,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,905.43534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5afb…4511backed Knicks45c271,580$123,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148,369.135540%22 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Cavaliers53c233,148$122,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,632.0215443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Cavaliers53c127,086$67,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,385.275942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Knicks46c125,000$57,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,5001070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Knicks46c105,122$48,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,739.491,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Knicks47c93,000$44,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,929.9351350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks47c88,423$41,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,616.941,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Cavaliers55c79,233$43,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,264.388843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Cavaliers54c79,001$42,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,660.5620253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Cavaliers53c63,814$33,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,876.6469852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Knicks46c58,489$26,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,584.053348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Knicks47c54,571$25,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,011.212,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Cavaliers55c50,837$27,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,960.088744.8%39 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Cavaliers54c45,718$24,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,649.2536148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c81…e258backed Knicks46c40,000$18,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,6001872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+45.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Cavaliers48c40,000$19,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,199.9912529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Cavaliers54c38,317$20,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,605.175149%25 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Cavaliers30c37,891$11,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,405.7919249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93fc…34b6backed Knicks47c35,000$16,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,649.984025%10 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Knicks49c34,680$16,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,788.3547448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Cavaliers18c31,448$5,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,660.6410530.5%32 W · 73 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Knicks55c30,000$16,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,40038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Knicks45c30,000$13,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,399.9919351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Cavaliers53c27,219$14,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,562.137149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Knicks46c26,754$12,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,558.2266853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81b1…0f83backed Cavaliers41c23,924$9,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,897333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-48.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Knicks49c23,636$11,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,057.9716942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cavaliers54c21,936$11,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,793.3585742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Knicks56c21,640$12,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,483.5147144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Knicks76c21,041$15,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,109.9381529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed Cavaliers43c19,066$8,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,243.82642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Cavaliers51c17,598$8,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,972.4320248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ff6…a199backed Cavaliers57c17,478$9,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,961.591353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Knicks47c17,378$8,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,276.6730053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Knicks46c17,024$7,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,192.9611558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Knicks45c15,565$7,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,504.935235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Knicks45c15,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,199.9859653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks50c14,945$7,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,419.751,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Knicks42c14,446$6,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,392.1747751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9481…4931backed Knicks47c13,658$6,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,238.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x690d…dee3backed Cavaliers54c13,040$7,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,041.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x820c…4841backed Knicks47c13,021$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,901.281758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Cavaliers50c12,093$6,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,064.7741848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Knicks45c11,248$5,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,139.8815952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc659…e925backed Knicks45c11,061$5,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,058.99450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks70c10,865$7,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,311.133,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Knicks51c10,500$5,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,097.5834645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Knicks46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40017658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Cavaliers54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4004553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Knicks47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.991346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe945…a5cbbacked Cavaliers54c9,603$5,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,194450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Cavaliers55c9,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9508451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Cavaliers53c8,960$4,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,721.5771052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Knicks46c8,500$3,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5901,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb06b…42fcbacked Cavaliers52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,160616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0845…e9ebbacked Cavaliers51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,080450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+86.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers27c7,940$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.11,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Knicks45c7,500$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1256152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb855…90b2backed Knicks79c7,064$5,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df4…8ca6backed Cavaliers51c7,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,570540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+49%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers53c7,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7102,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…d32abacked Knicks46c6,522$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Knicks77c6,461$4,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.819640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Cavaliers52c6,210$3,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2108246.3%38 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Cavaliers51c6,140$3,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,127.5674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Knicks45c6,016$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.978840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f86…4b75backed Knicks49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,060450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c35…8f52backed Knicks48c5,945$2,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,091.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…875ebacked Cavaliers52c5,945$3,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,091.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1534…4dfebacked Knicks48c5,538$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6994…21efbacked Cavaliers52c5,532$2,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,876.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc491…61f7backed Knicks49c5,121$2,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers54c5,000$2,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7102,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers52c4,757$2,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.752,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Cavaliers53c4,717$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Knicks48c4,707$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.946155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Knicks46c4,692$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.849849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9338…8addbacked Knicks48c4,640$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,412.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Knicks50c4,540$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,281.0615551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Cavaliers36c4,503$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.5927917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Knicks46c4,345$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,344.9325847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Cavaliers52c4,170$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.366153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Cavaliers47c4,047$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.1585344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Knicks47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Knicks47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.954252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9997…97b5backed Knicks49c3,879$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…1accbacked Knicks46c3,872$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.741866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09da…8230backed Knicks53c3,812$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks44c3,791$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.149,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa099…94febacked Cavaliers54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-75.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x770a…984ebacked Knicks46c3,696$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.65850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Knicks46c3,684$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.3861851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec6…47c1backed Knicks68c3,587$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x474b…a13cbacked Knicks49c3,500$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.781233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbda8…2fd6backed Knicks49c3,400$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Knicks59c3,370$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.76451.6%33 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fdd…5feabacked Knicks46c3,261$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.873243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Knicks45c3,196$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.1812160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Knicks48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62517162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.