TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,276 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe153…e415backed Over53c13,003$6,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,111.411560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Under47c5,800$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7262650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f59…1176backed Under47c3,500$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6451464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cc0…d2d0backed Under47c2,250$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a6…7538backed Over53c2,200$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d9…e50fbacked Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.16933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81b…a52bbacked Under47c1,974$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.781050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424f…99d6backed Under47c1,952$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.44955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1253…9868backed Under47c1,552$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed30…f3b3backed Under47c1,552$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.441118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-63.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c7e…431ebacked Over53c1,551$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.97944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d7d…7765backed Over53c1,524$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.28944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79f1…6e8dbacked Over53c1,443$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.211346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d42…e4d1backed Under47c1,416$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.52825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa544…e40fbacked Over53c1,383$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.01875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ecb…3b01backed Under47c1,362$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.141040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa7…08f7backed Under47c1,354$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.381145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb8…4b2cbacked Over53c1,353$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d4…63adbacked Under47c1,349$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under49c1,327$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.432,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5094…a296backed Over53c1,322$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.341060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f4d…6982backed Under47c1,321$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.871050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x113a…1251backed Over53c1,278$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.661127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef0c…2524backed Under47c1,203$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.411060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x341b…e11dbacked Over53c1,197$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.59988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.40per pick49cpaid+81.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb2d8…5a80backed Over53c1,195$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.651050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f4d…f826backed Under47c1,187$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c1,179$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.039,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e1…1e60backed Under47c1,175$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.251040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x590f…5b28backed Over53c1,169$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.43944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x217f…e07abacked Under47c1,154$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.38520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9875…70f5backed Over53c1,136$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70aa…15f8backed Over53c1,120$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.41040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c3e…8fe8backed Over53c1,118$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf34…d146backed Over53c1,074$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.781050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5b…5323backed Under47c1,056$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.32728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b55…3141backed Under47c1,054$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.381030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fdf…cc39backed Under47c1,049$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.031040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x173b…baf5backed Under47c1,047$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.09933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ffa…9f0ebacked Under47c1,033$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.511118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9c4…530dbacked Under47c1,027$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.69944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc585…1b72backed Over53c1,023$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.81875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c33…8279backed Under47c1,001$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.47825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe51…cfc7backed Under47c1,001$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72c7…472fbacked Under47c977$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.19742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6fd…1409backed Under47c951$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.97850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf869…6d20backed Over53c949$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.03850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89ce…e647backed Over53c935$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.45837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b4…56c6backed Under47c929$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.63837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ac…d507backed Under47c923$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.81757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf168…35fcbacked Over53c914$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.58837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe65…ced6backed Over53c912$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc04…01f1backed Over53c899$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.531163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b37…4e5abacked Over53c896$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.121145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x868a…add6backed Over53c883$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.01850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x455e…ecacbacked Under47c872$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.84933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c45…92adbacked Under47c860$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f1…6fa7backed Under47c849$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21fc…fa60backed Under47c848$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf9…6927backed Under47c845$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.15955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f5…46e3backed Under47c845$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1922…3f90backed Over53c825$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.751553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x015e…3954backed Under47c818$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.46944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac6…929bbacked Over53c795$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.65944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38cd…79c4backed Over53c795$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.65944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe04e…0dcdbacked Under47c787$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.89933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ffc…f402backed Under47c777$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.191127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb5f…303abacked Over53c769$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.43812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.39per pick52cpaid-76.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29b4…62edbacked Over53c764$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.081127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77ee…2a7dbacked Under47c762$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.141030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe859…61cebacked Under47c747$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.09714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-70.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ed8…42e1backed Over53c744$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.681050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402d…2a64backed Over53c742$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab3…e65ebacked Over53c734$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.98944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e43…e366backed Under47c714$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.581040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…a6f9backed Under47c710$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.71030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5af…7683backed Over53c709$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c4…d114backed Under47c706$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d6…cfe7backed Under47c704$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.881050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Over56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30810156.4%57 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Under44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30847448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc7…0874backed Under47c699$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.53944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd90c…acf0backed Over53c691$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.77955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d1…d5b0backed Over53c677$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.191154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c3…a0bebacked Under47c676$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45dc…92afbacked Under47c672$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.841145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0cd…155cbacked Under47c662$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8329…e118backed Under47c660$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821a…d2bbbacked Over53c659$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.731060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcde8…8b09backed Over53c657$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.791361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b6…4c57backed Over53c657$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.791346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b14…9b0ebacked Under47c644$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5fcb…1941backed Over53c631$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.571060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3914…a493backed Over53c625$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.75850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x531e…db38backed Under47c617$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d3…14a7backed Over53c611$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.17837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ad…2e85backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2821154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…0b72backed Under47c598$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.06922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-56.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3263…2f28backed Over53c595$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.65977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick49cpaid+58.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x54f4…a5cfbacked Over53c590$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.31040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.