NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0de04c1a411c89a02b9ca323d82f2e1459aa29b4856a2c091e4e6d367f949b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 52c | 23,821$12,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,433.94 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Over | 51c | 16,339$8,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,006.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Under | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Under | 49c | 14,008$6,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,863.92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Under | 49c | 11,828$5,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,801.08 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…e415backed Over | 51c | 10,103$5,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 51c | 9,343$4,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,594.54 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Under | 47c | 5,709$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.21 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…d32abacked Over | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 4,490$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.37 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 52c | 3,600$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…d2d0backed Over | 51c | 3,100$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…1176backed Over | 51c | 2,888$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Over | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…4e5abacked Over | 51c | 2,117$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…431ebacked Under | 49c | 2,098$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce8…9ea5backed Under | 49c | 2,059$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,034$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 48c | 1,989$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.21 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…08f7backed Under | 49c | 1,901$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5b…5323backed Under | 49c | 1,697$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…8c39backed Under | 49c | 1,656$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.44 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…7765backed Under | 49c | 1,652$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…9086backed Under | 49c | 1,640$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…1b72backed Under | 49c | 1,619$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…e11dbacked Under | 49c | 1,599$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.51 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1922…3f90backed Over | 51c | 1,597$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.53 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7a…a385backed Over | 51c | 1,516$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…3b01backed Under | 49c | 1,510$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…5a80backed Over | 51c | 1,462$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…1941backed Over | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…f3b3backed Over | 51c | 1,434$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.66 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b6…4c57backed Under | 49c | 1,417$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…63adbacked Over | 51c | 1,415$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…c278backed Under | 49c | 1,397$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c91…a39abacked Over | 51c | 1,382$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7878…d30bbacked Over | 51c | 1,374$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…cc39backed Under | 49c | 1,369$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over | 47c | 1,339$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.83 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf835…2702backed Under | 49c | 1,325$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb229…0591backed Over | 51c | 1,305$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…62edbacked Under | 49c | 1,291$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…3141backed Under | 49c | 1,266$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x590f…5b28backed Under | 49c | 1,240$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe509…96adbacked Over | 51c | 1,235$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…69d5backed Over | 51c | 1,231$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…6927backed Over | 51c | 1,222$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…4e09backed Under | 49c | 1,154$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…48a9backed Under | 49c | 1,145$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45dc…92afbacked Under | 49c | 1,139$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf34…d146backed Under | 49c | 1,139$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c7…472fbacked Over | 51c | 1,127$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…f826backed Over | 51c | 1,120$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…a493backed Over | 51c | 1,107$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…1e60backed Under | 49c | 1,105$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…20c7backed Under | 49c | 1,105$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 54c | 1,094$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.47 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…79c4backed Under | 49c | 1,078$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e0…88e3backed Over | 51c | 1,076$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…a6f9backed Under | 49c | 1,073$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…01f1backed Over | 51c | 1,062$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…3bedbacked Over | 51c | 1,056$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…80c8backed Under | 49c | 1,044$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9460…71edbacked Over | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…551abacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…7a01backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…929bbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5094…a296backed Under | 49c | 975$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x015e…3954backed Under | 49c | 973$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…c869backed Over | 51c | 970$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc43…938ebacked Under | 49c | 969$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…0c9ebacked Under | 49c | 966$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…391abacked Over | 51c | 960$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf53f…174bbacked Over | 51c | 957$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…d5b0backed Over | 51c | 956$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408d…2bccbacked Under | 49c | 949$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…e40fbacked Over | 51c | 948$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc744…c412backed Under | 49c | 947$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ac…a6cabacked Under | 49c | 935$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b3…c419backed Under | 49c | 913$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.37 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9875…70f5backed Over | 51c | 894$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…e50fbacked Under | 49c | 887$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…0874backed Over | 51c | 874$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…4b2cbacked Over | 51c | 869$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03fd…809abacked Over | 51c | 857$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5af…7683backed Over | 51c | 857$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…2e85backed Over | 51c | 846$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde8…8b09backed Over | 51c | 843$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36be…e8a7backed Under | 49c | 826$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd50…9109backed Under | 49c | 818$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x992c…3ae9backed Under | 49c | 817$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8139…9ee6backed Over | 51c | 816$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a6…7538backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7586…e8f3backed Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Under | 51c | 766.67$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…0b72backed Over | 51c | 747$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x402d…2a64backed Over | 51c | 739$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f4…a5cfbacked Over | 51c | 739$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5this page
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.