MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1b258abced7d37314c49d4c987a2dfd44e2199ccf048d95f122133a627940fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Nationals, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,253,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,257,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,253,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 30c | 878,603$263,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263,380.78 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 72c | 99,837$72,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,805.16 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Braves | 70c | 90,086$63,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,025.78 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Braves | 70c | 89,874$63,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,848.8 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Braves | 70c | 67,000$46,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,100 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Braves | 70c | 56,680$39,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,004.01 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Braves | 71c | 53,269$37,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,670.61 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves | 70c | 51,039$35,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300.15 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Nationals | 30c | 50,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.99 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Braves | 70c | 39,298$27,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,789.4 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Braves | 71c | 34,900$24,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,121 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Nationals | 30c | 34,650$10,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,395 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Braves | 70c | 33,246$23,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,919.43 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Braves | 70c | 30,150$21,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,045 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Braves | 70c | 26,800$18,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,040 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 70c | 25,492$17,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,647.49 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Braves | 70c | 25,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Braves | 70c | 22,437$15,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,731.19 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Braves | 70c | 21,320$14,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,396 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Nationals | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Braves | 70c | 19,800$13,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Braves | 70c | 19,000$13,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 70c | 15,930$11,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,772.31 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Nationals | 30c | 14,479$4,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,343.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Braves | 70c | 14,286$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.71 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Braves | 70c | 12,111$8,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.3 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Braves | 76c | 10,960$8,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.4 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Braves | 70c | 10,010$7,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Braves | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Braves | 70c | 7,821$5,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.67 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Nationals | 30c | 7,799$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.69 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…814ebacked Braves | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves | 70c | 6,200$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 70c | 5,595$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.36 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 70c | 5,497$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.08 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Nationals | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.95 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals | 0c | 4,872$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…fcb2backed Braves | 70c | 4,474$3,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.29 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Braves | 71c | 4,444$3,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.76 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Braves | 71c | 4,242$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.19 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nationals | 30c | 4,077$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.66 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Nationals | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.99 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…5576backed Braves | 65c | 3,846$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Braves | 70c | 3,788$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.25 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Braves | 70c | 3,513$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.01 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Nationals | 14c | 3,212$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.65 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Braves | 71c | 3,108$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.45 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Braves | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Braves | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…f6f7backed Nationals | 38c | 2,882$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Braves | 70c | 2,856$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b3…5babbacked Nationals | 6c | 2,555$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Braves | 70c | 2,430$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.52 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Braves | 70c | 2,384$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.09 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Nationals | 29c | 2,279$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.85 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 8c | 1,795$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.33 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 30c | 1,533$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.97 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Braves | 71c | 1,416$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.14 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Braves | 69c | 1,394$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.22 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nationals | 1c | 1,393$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 33c | 1,344$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.16 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Braves | 70c | 1,330$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…3231backed Nationals | 30c | 1,319$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.7 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…d24bbacked Braves | 70c | 1,286$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.8 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Nationals | 31c | 1,203$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…f1bdbacked Braves | 70c | 1,176$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Braves | 70c | 1,065$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.5 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Braves | 70c | 1,036$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.56 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Braves | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Nationals | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Nationals | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Nationals | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Nationals | 7c | 953.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Braves | 69c | 900.42$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.53 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…bf5cbacked Nationals | 30c | 900$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb41…ae98backed Braves | 71c | 887.32$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Nationals | 7c | 873.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Braves | 70c | 845.13$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.11 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 75c | 739.98$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.28 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Braves | 70c | 714.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Braves | 71c | 710$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.9 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Nationals | 2c | 684.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 19c | 672$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.43 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Nationals | 31c | 667.23$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.84 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Nationals | 31c | 643.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.51 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nationals | 31c | 639.35$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.2 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d36…03b3backed Nationals | 18c | 636.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Braves | 71c | 628.17$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.89 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 30c | 619.23$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.77 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Braves | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Nationals | 30c | 552.83$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.85 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Braves | 71c | 530$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Braves | 71c | 522.9$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.64 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…bbdfbacked Nationals | 30c | 505.7$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 30c | 500.01$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Nationals | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Braves | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nationals vs. Bravesthis page
- NRFI: Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.