TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7297…814e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sao Paulo: Tomas Barrios vs Thiago Monteirobacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$58.76
Morelia: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.06
Set 1 Winner: Mochizuki vs Ficovichbacked Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.65
Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.7
Dubrovnik: Lola Radivojevic vs Alina Charaevabacked Lola Radivojevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.75
Yokkaichi: Renta Tokuda vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$46.72
New Delhi: Oliver Crawford vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$38.42
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Ealabacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+212.5%+$542.09
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Iva Jovic vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+53.8%+$64.05
Open Sud de France: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,132.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+90.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$88
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$294
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$200
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$205
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+203%+$2,679.99
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$460
All 6 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+185.7%+$6,500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Asia Cup: India vs Sri Lankabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+93.4%+$241.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$219.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington State Cougars vs. Oregon State Beaversbacked Washington State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.