Cricket · resolved market
Asia Cup: India vs Sri Lanka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc09c3d524004cd2b9724b39079434d2f8159c72cf0cf16a00af582513f711ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiaof India, Lanka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lanka | 0c | 6,793$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed India | 75c | 6,249$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.01 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ac…2287backed India | 78c | 5,864$4,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lanka | 36c | 4,536$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.38 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lanka | 19c | 3,568$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Lanka | 16c | 2,218$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…a528backed India | 78c | 1,690$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Lanka | 27c | 1,552$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.33 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…0ed0backed Lanka | 27c | 793.36$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.79 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Lanka | 10c | 511.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…814ebacked India | 52c | 500$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…d8cbbacked Lanka | 4c | 460$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e40…e093backed India | 64c | 357.53$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ef…e26fbacked Lanka | 4c | 319.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Lanka | 5c | 228.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc80…7566backed Lanka | 24c | 220$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…4f4cbacked India | 25c | 201.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Lanka | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Lanka | 11c | 184.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc25b…dc9fbacked India | 56c | 160.44$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Lanka | 24c | 149$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +200.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…e39fbacked India | 48c | 145.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Lanka | 17c | 110.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…4e38backed India | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed India | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Lanka | 19c | 99.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c5…e08dbacked India | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Lanka | 25c | 78.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…2021backed India | 49c | 66.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5acc…f6a6backed India | 72c | 43.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f1cdbacked India | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…df5bbacked India | 80c | 32.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed India | 79c | 31.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Lanka | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed India | 71c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.