Tennis · resolved market
Yokkaichi: Renta Tokuda vs August Holmgren
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46e3724ab5fd4f4010b3fac067f5685c57c5851e63da44a2cacec23b1d1e6c37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- August Holmgrenof Renta Tokuda, August Holmgren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,152 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Renta Tokuda | 19c | 4,537$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.97 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed August Holmgren | 74c | 3,238$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.09 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Renta Tokuda | 28c | 2,096$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.19 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Renta Tokuda | 21c | 1,679$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed August Holmgren | 65c | 1,547$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.66 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed August Holmgren | 72c | 1,444$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.17 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Renta Tokuda | 8c | 1,264$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed August Holmgren | 73c | 1,183$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.48 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Renta Tokuda | 29c | 921.11$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.59 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Renta Tokuda | 30c | 799.53$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.9 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecac…0cf3backed August Holmgren | 67c | 748.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.61 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 70cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Renta Tokuda | 28c | 661.72$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Renta Tokuda | 26c | 578.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.9 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Renta Tokuda | 40c | 512.42$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.26 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed August Holmgren | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed August Holmgren | 72c | 493.06$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Renta Tokuda | 44c | 458.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Renta Tokuda | 44c | 454.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Renta Tokuda | 28c | 453$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.84 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed August Holmgren | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Renta Tokuda | 6c | 378.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Renta Tokuda | 36c | 373.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed August Holmgren | 72c | 370$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Renta Tokuda | 30c | 338.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed August Holmgren | 75c | 322.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Renta Tokuda | 28c | 305.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Renta Tokuda | 19c | 265.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed August Holmgren | 76c | 257.9$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Renta Tokuda | 29c | 249.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked August Holmgren | 69c | 236.26$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed August Holmgren | 71c | 227$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Renta Tokuda | 28c | 220.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Renta Tokuda | 28c | 189.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked August Holmgren | 78c | 182$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Renta Tokuda | 6c | 170.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed August Holmgren | 66c | 162.87$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked August Holmgren | 64c | 157.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…d870backed August Holmgren | 75c | 155.96$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Renta Tokuda | 37c | 155.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed August Holmgren | 71c | 154.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Renta Tokuda | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6657…8e4fbacked August Holmgren | 80c | 147.72$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Renta Tokuda | 27c | 146.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed August Holmgren | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed August Holmgren | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Renta Tokuda | 27c | 138.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked August Holmgren | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Renta Tokuda | 26c | 134.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Renta Tokuda | 32c | 133.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked August Holmgren | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…4761backed August Holmgren | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed August Holmgren | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed August Holmgren | 63c | 120.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed August Holmgren | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked August Holmgren | 61c | 99.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…814ebacked August Holmgren | 50c | 93.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Renta Tokuda | 33c | 89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed August Holmgren | 70c | 85.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…a329backed Renta Tokuda | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Renta Tokuda | 28c | 77.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed August Holmgren | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed August Holmgren | 72c | 69.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Renta Tokuda | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked August Holmgren | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b4…9152backed August Holmgren | 74c | 67.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Renta Tokuda | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a74…6631backed August Holmgren | 72c | 64.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked August Holmgren | 68c | 63.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed August Holmgren | 49c | 63.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Renta Tokuda | 22c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 180 | 20.6%37 W · 143 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked August Holmgren | 67c | 59.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Renta Tokuda | 36c | 56.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…3970backed August Holmgren | 72c | 55.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…93b1backed Renta Tokuda | 26c | 55.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked August Holmgren | 66c | 54.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 331 | 63.7%211 W · 120 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked August Holmgren | 75c | 53.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked August Holmgren | 66c | 51.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…1e75backed August Holmgren | 71c | 50.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Renta Tokuda | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked August Holmgren | 61c | 49.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 223 | 59.6%133 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d2…c802backed August Holmgren | 79c | 47.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Renta Tokuda | 30c | 47.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0927…6605backed Renta Tokuda | 28c | 40.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked August Holmgren | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d63…242abacked Renta Tokuda | 33c | 37.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed August Holmgren | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked August Holmgren | 73c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked August Holmgren | 71c | 33.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…3c1cbacked August Holmgren | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked August Holmgren | 72c | 28.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked August Holmgren | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a7…3576backed August Holmgren | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 152 | 58.6%89 W · 63 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed August Holmgren | 75c | 24.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed August Holmgren | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…34efbacked August Holmgren | 77c | 23.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed August Holmgren | 72c | 23.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed August Holmgren | 80c | 20.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed August Holmgren | 74c | 20.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 211 | 72%152 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed August Holmgren | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba8…fa04backed August Holmgren | 79c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yokkaichi: Renta Tokuda vs August Holmgrenthis page
- Renta Tokuda vs. August Holmgren: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.