TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xecac…0cf3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 61 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1693.8%15 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.24per pick70cpaid+38%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$32.29
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.03
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.01
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Tai Sachbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.31
BMW Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Bucharest Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,075Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$867.34
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Andres Andradebacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$270.27
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Katarina Zavatska vs Selena Janicijevicbacked Selena Janicijevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$628.57
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Younes Laaroussi vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$249.97
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$553.85
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Ana Sofia Sanchez vs Gabriela Cebacked Ana Sofia Sanchez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,547Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$1,256.09
Split: Tom Gentzsch vs Filippo Romanobacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$24.68
Naples: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$445.04
Alicante: Lloyd Harris vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$396.01
Miami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$554.98
Yokkaichi: Renta Tokuda vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$248.61
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$832.13
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$575
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$265.82
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$284.39
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$189.08
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick78cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,079Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$269.73
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.62
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$22.32
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$99.29
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$433.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Solary (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$333.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$93.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.