TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Split: Tom Gentzsch vs Filippo Romano

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tom Gentzschof Tom Gentzsch, Filippo Romano
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Filippo Romano6c4,263$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.692,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Tom Gentzsch65c3,527$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.381,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Filippo Romano15c2,955$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Filippo Romano39c2,049$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.846,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Filippo Romano19c2,003$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.291,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Tom Gentzsch67c1,776$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.7465558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Filippo Romano17c1,726$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.322,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed Filippo Romano37c1,619$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60321720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Filippo Romano35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf760…1334backed Filippo Romano38c1,300$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.351850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Filippo Romano32c1,064$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33818439.1%72 W · 112 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Filippo Romano37c1,044$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.6225134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Filippo Romano39c1,040$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.61,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8374…4015backed Filippo Romano37c1,003$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3677346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Tom Gentzsch65c1,000$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.8230857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Tom Gentzsch63c802.83$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.2117348%83 W · 90 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Filippo Romano35c747.78$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.7258734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Filippo Romano34c657.13$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.224,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Filippo Romano36c627.13$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.841,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Filippo Romano10c613.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027040%108 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Filippo Romano35c607.15$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.57,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Tom Gentzsch76c597.75$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.882,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Filippo Romano35c563.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Tom Gentzsch62c513.19$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.191,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b36…b82ebacked Filippo Romano24c513$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.71241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Filippo Romano39c506.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42ae…85ccbacked Filippo Romano31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1555721.1%12 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a84…e21abacked Filippo Romano2c452.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119529.5%28 W · 67 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Filippo Romano36c415.81$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.691020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Tom Gentzsch61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8453058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Filippo Romano12c388.02$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.437237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac14…415abacked Filippo Romano9c378.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.652814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Filippo Romano39c373.43$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14796035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Tom Gentzsch69c360.17$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.171,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Tom Gentzsch67c358.81$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8159965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2718…780bbacked Filippo Romano33c337.77$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.462030%6 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Filippo Romano26c326.39$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.56,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Tom Gentzsch80c326.38$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.281,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Filippo Romano34c323.12$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.324,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Filippo Romano30c315.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.743,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Tom Gentzsch64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b8…632abacked Tom Gentzsch63c288.7$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.714344.1%63 W · 80 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Tom Gentzsch70c286.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.136869.1%47 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Filippo Romano38c260$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.81,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Filippo Romano23c258.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013113.7%18 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Tom Gentzsch62c258.06$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0618957.1%108 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Filippo Romano39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Filippo Romano38c245.91$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.042,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Tom Gentzsch61c242.22$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.311,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Filippo Romano38c220$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6154434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8742…5e43backed Filippo Romano11c214.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.512528%7 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc172…47cbbacked Filippo Romano35c214.19$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.755541.8%23 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Tom Gentzsch61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7868951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tom Gentzsch61c199.45$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.231,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed Filippo Romano53c189.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030653.3%163 W · 143 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea7a…446bbacked Filippo Romano38c171.74$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.851030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c31…ae43backed Filippo Romano9c171.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-50.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Filippo Romano40c168.62$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.169,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Tom Gentzsch63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7357349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Tom Gentzsch68c156.36$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9641272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Filippo Romano54c152.03$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.931,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Filippo Romano42c147$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.183342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Filippo Romano38c144.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.791,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Tom Gentzsch67c134.38$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3871165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tom Gentzsch76c127.58$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.696,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Tom Gentzsch80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2516447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Filippo Romano36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510242.2%43 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73d0…fa43backed Filippo Romano26c125$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.510832.4%35 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Tom Gentzsch66c124.63$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.915952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Filippo Romano37c121.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.737,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Tom Gentzsch63c118.27$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.538757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Tom Gentzsch54c111.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.082,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Tom Gentzsch62c107.28$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.151,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x747a…244ebacked Filippo Romano11c106.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd42…c4aebacked Tom Gentzsch49c101.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.755339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Filippo Romano26c101.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.763,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Tom Gentzsch64c100.44$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.448257.3%47 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Filippo Romano49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Tom Gentzsch64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3646556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Filippo Romano36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3630452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Tom Gentzsch71c98.11$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.936,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked Tom Gentzsch80c97$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.46645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c42…41d9backed Filippo Romano31c95.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305650%28 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Filippo Romano25c87.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.941658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6249…cee9backed Tom Gentzsch68c85.44$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4412057.5%69 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Tom Gentzsch63c85.29$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2941668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tom Gentzsch69c84.12$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.467,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Filippo Romano36c76.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.437945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Tom Gentzsch64c76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3681255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f51…45c6backed Tom Gentzsch63c74.68$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecac…0cf3backed Tom Gentzsch66c72.79$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.681693.8%15 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.24per pick70cpaid+38%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Filippo Romano39c71.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.117,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Filippo Romano28c68.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.471,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Tom Gentzsch65c65.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.811,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x877c…e669backed Filippo Romano38c64.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.922963.3%145 W · 84 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Filippo Romano40c64.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.722,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Tom Gentzsch63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.492,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Tom Gentzsch61c60.19$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5363746%293 W · 344 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9483…804ebacked Filippo Romano35c57.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2915514.2%22 W · 133 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-70.4%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Tom Gentzsch62c56.73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5238460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.