TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc172…47cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Cricket at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5541.8%23 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Anton Matusevich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Lucas Poullainbacked Lui Maxted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Liberec: Franco Roncadelli vs Norbert Gombosbacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Palermo: Amarissa Kiara Toth vs Jennifer Ruggeribacked Jennifer Ruggeri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$164.26
Tampere: Daniel Galan vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$90.74
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$47.68
Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Mark Lajalbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$31.28
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
ITF Taipei: Kayo Nishimura vs Sara Saitobacked Sara Saito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Asuncion 2: Bruno Fernandez vs Nick Hardtbacked Nick Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$89.09
Brescia: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$86.35
Dublin: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkaribacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanchbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.74
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Sloane Stephensbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.63
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Ann Libacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Alastair Graybacked Sasikumar Mukund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs David Goffinbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$21.15
Bengaluru 3: Hamish Stewart vs Kriish Tyagibacked Hamish Stewart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanovbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Diane Parry vs Emma Raducanubacked Emma Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Bengaluru 3: Maximus Jones vs Sasikumar Mukundbacked Maximus Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spiritbacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.86
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.86
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.56
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.44
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$63.51
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$109.18
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$61.08
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.52
Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Karachi Kingsbacked Quetta Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.3
T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.59
T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
ODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.52
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$67
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
U19 World Cup: India Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19sbacked Pakistan Under-19s · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
WPL: Gujarat Giants Women vs Mumbai Indians Womenbacked Gujarat Giants Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+90.7%+$64.62
U19 World Cup: New Zealand Under-19s vs England Under-19sbacked New Zealand Under-19s · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Thailand Women vs USA Womenbacked USA Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+96.1%+$68.6
SA20: MI Cape Town vs Joburg Super Kings (Game 1)backed Joburg Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$272
Big Bash League: Adelaide Strikers vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)backed Sydney Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$495
SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game 1)backed Pretoria Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$243.6
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT3933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.9
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$145.09
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.47
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.81
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.96
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.22
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
76ers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.61
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$57.27
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+132.6%+$79.53
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25.25
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+590.5%+$590.48
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$151
Clippers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 109.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+205.1%+$143.58
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$16.82
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (W)backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+117.4%+$46.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$45.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.