TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs David Goffin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toby Samuelof Toby Samuel, David Goffin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,904
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,904 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Toby Samuel61c11,604$7,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,528.348,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed David Goffin30c6,400$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.4524841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked David Goffin42c6,384$2,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,704.5111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Toby Samuel54c3,273$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.541,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed David Goffin42c3,095$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30062061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Toby Samuel59c3,068$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.9139238.8%152 W · 240 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked David Goffin62c2,817$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75094068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed David Goffin38c2,770$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.41,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed David Goffin43c2,231$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.065,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked David Goffin44c2,128$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.151,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Toby Samuel40c2,034$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.031,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed David Goffin48c2,032$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.678,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Toby Samuel46c1,938$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.123,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Toby Samuel56c1,361$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.124,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked David Goffin46c1,250$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.654634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed David Goffin48c1,210$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.81,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed David Goffin53c1,208$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.464,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Toby Samuel71c1,189$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.2853655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed David Goffin40c1,159$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.0567144.7%300 W · 371 L+30.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Toby Samuel60c1,159$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.2411154.1%60 W · 51 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Toby Samuel54c1,100$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.8743449.1%213 W · 221 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Toby Samuel60c1,079$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.3527739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed David Goffin47c1,000$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.397443.2%32 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed David Goffin42c941.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Toby Samuel51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44114835.8%53 W · 95 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa08…d98abacked Toby Samuel70c715.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6724962.2%155 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Toby Samuel53c689$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.8342125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaba5…4e0ebacked Toby Samuel65c618.73$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.7316055%88 W · 72 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Toby Samuel50c589.12$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.612,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca4…db18backed David Goffin51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c77…2c45backed Toby Samuel59c581.46$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.339151.6%47 W · 44 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Toby Samuel45c556.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.974,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed David Goffin34c551.11$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9692145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed David Goffin45c547.62$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.184,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Toby Samuel55c541.82$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.8235164.1%225 W · 126 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6800…b2cbbacked David Goffin63c522.29$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.041643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed David Goffin24c508.82$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9415938.4%61 W · 98 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Toby Samuel58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21054746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked David Goffin74c480.5$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.731,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x792d…7363backed David Goffin45c457.99$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.583839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked David Goffin41c436.9$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.7255241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked Toby Samuel52c435.38$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.9821767.7%147 W · 70 L-0.8wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed David Goffin44c407.99$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.526,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed David Goffin44c379.01$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5832240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Toby Samuel42c354.76$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.761,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ce…590abacked Toby Samuel41c345.76$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.846041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed David Goffin45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed David Goffin47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x444a…00bebacked David Goffin48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508831.8%28 W · 60 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae51…1d03backed David Goffin43c297.36$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8915554.2%84 W · 71 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid0%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x010c…e732backed David Goffin50c292$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Toby Samuel47c291.34$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5143750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Toby Samuel61c285.84$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8460641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed David Goffin46c285.78$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.472,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed David Goffin51c270$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0684640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed David Goffin55c261.79$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.329,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Toby Samuel26c243.46$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1638422.4%86 W · 298 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked David Goffin42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed David Goffin42c231.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.197,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6655backed David Goffin45c227$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1514255.6%79 W · 63 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed David Goffin42c222$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2443242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed David Goffin47c209.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.293633.3%12 W · 24 L-8.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-43.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed David Goffin66c204.55$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13511747%55 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed David Goffin70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed David Goffin46c199.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9286835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b0…072ebacked Toby Samuel30c194$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.88331.3%26 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Toby Samuel58c190.47$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Toby Samuel69c175.82$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.071,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed David Goffin7c172.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.373349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed David Goffin45c161.87$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.841,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…1759backed David Goffin46c140$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x625d…c6a1backed David Goffin29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402839.3%11 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed David Goffin53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7059440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed David Goffin76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036264.6%234 W · 128 L-1.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2417…86b1backed David Goffin23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed David Goffin42c123.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5934549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Toby Samuel57c120.77$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4636757.8%212 W · 155 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Toby Samuel58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.481047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed David Goffin43c119.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1795846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed David Goffin42c115.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.992,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed David Goffin51c111.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1767838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed David Goffin40c107.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6985624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked David Goffin48c104.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked David Goffin64c101.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2715951.6%82 W · 77 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed David Goffin60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6093945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e3…8c11backed David Goffin47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479436.2%34 W · 60 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d8…9ccdbacked Toby Samuel46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412249.2%60 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Toby Samuel57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9723865.5%156 W · 82 L+31.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1b8c…20e4backed Toby Samuel53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4710264.7%66 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Toby Samuel53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4756062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d12…4070backed Toby Samuel56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4410254.9%56 W · 46 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed David Goffin41c98.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2128738.3%110 W · 177 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked David Goffin36c94.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.154,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Toby Samuel65c94.26$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.981,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad8…43e2backed David Goffin44c92.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8818541.1%76 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc172…47cbbacked Toby Samuel54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.595541.8%23 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Toby Samuel56c89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1696844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked David Goffin39c88.02$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9562140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed David Goffin44c87.65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.463,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed David Goffin47c87$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.893,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.