TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Felix Gillof Felix Gill, Hugo Gaston
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$254,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Felix Gill49c22,956$11,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,634.838,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Hugo Gaston52c19,265$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Felix Gill58c15,909$9,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,691.2711,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b2…e055backed Hugo Gaston56c14,173$8,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,002.031040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a67…e403backed Hugo Gaston51c13,987$7,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,133.411554.8%63 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Hugo Gaston31c9,143$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,817.0348352.2%252 W · 231 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Felix Gill71c8,575$6,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,475.8245737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Felix Gill73c8,329$6,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.652,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cc…884bbacked Hugo Gaston48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.992347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2690…4089backed Hugo Gaston29c4,679$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.855244.2%23 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Felix Gill73c4,209$3,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.262,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Hugo Gaston30c3,923$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.891,01350.1%508 W · 505 L+36.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Hugo Gaston29c2,927$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.9452152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Felix Gill65c2,500$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.919,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24fd…1250backed Hugo Gaston35c2,440$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8504729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Felix Gill63c2,389$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.953,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Hugo Gaston56c2,287$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.043,18748.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L-46.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Felix Gill46c2,180$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.2765651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Felix Gill51c2,166$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.212,14454.2%1,162 W · 982 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Felix Gill66c2,164$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74045457%259 W · 195 L+27.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5098…48debacked Hugo Gaston49c2,079$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.482147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Felix Gill64c1,902$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.474,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Felix Gill49c1,848$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.721,47435.1%518 W · 956 L-14.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Hugo Gaston56c1,787$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024961.4%153 W · 96 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Felix Gill66c1,679$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.024,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Hugo Gaston53c1,585$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.348555.9%271 W · 214 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Felix Gill61c1,491$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.147057.9%272 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Felix Gill60c1,366$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.422,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Felix Gill48c1,295$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.593,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Felix Gill73c1,293$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.8914751%75 W · 72 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Felix Gill51c1,261$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.054,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Felix Gill70c1,122$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.071,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Felix Gill71c1,088$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.841,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Hugo Gaston37c1,084$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40087237.2%324 W · 548 L-3.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Felix Gill69c1,048$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.4859253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Hugo Gaston31c999.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.252,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b7b…1c28backed Hugo Gaston33c900.04$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Hugo Gaston31c828.66$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26052557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Hugo Gaston31c811.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509556.8%54 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hugo Gaston45c715.43$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.298,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hugo Gaston36c713.89$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.788,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Hugo Gaston31c692.54$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3965840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Hugo Gaston30c607.94$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.3857948.5%281 W · 298 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Hugo Gaston32c600.08$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5351252.1%267 W · 245 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Hugo Gaston34c593.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Felix Gill58c568.29$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.135258.2%205 W · 147 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Felix Gill53c563.91$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.911,83648.4%889 W · 947 L-32.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a5…2703backed Felix Gill54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hugo Gaston32c522.66$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.776,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Felix Gill47c517.54$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.442,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Felix Gill63c517.21$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3735450.8%180 W · 174 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Felix Gill68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1604,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Hugo Gaston53c475.25$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5240235.8%144 W · 258 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0239…6e89backed Hugo Gaston58c466.4$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.6611130.6%34 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb31b…200bbacked Felix Gill55c462.89$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.387751.9%40 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35d…102abacked Hugo Gaston48c454.29$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.957445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Hugo Gaston41c444$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.049953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Hugo Gaston50c436.37$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Hugo Gaston17c428.7$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.51225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Felix Gill47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5319938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Felix Gill50c411.46$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.995050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Felix Gill69c400.17$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.051,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b79…e1e8backed Hugo Gaston50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f9…942bbacked Felix Gill70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0d…337dbacked Hugo Gaston31c399.21$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Hugo Gaston31c398.89$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.745549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3e…061cbacked Hugo Gaston50c396$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19810143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Hugo Gaston30c385.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6758539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Felix Gill64c350.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.885249.6%423 W · 429 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Hugo Gaston57c344.82$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.221,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Hugo Gaston29c327.59$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Hugo Gaston31c322.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011949.6%59 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Hugo Gaston30c321.79$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.681,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Felix Gill60c316.67$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6763247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Felix Gill66c316.61$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6438446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Hugo Gaston32c312.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.995250%26 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Hugo Gaston52c303.86$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.011,14341.3%472 W · 671 L+23.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c2…206abacked Felix Gill67c303.71$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.226339.7%25 W · 38 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Hugo Gaston29c303$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8713860.9%84 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3988…a621backed Felix Gill70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Felix Gill54c299.71$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.74,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Hugo Gaston53c294.02$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7211963.9%76 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Felix Gill59c290.04$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8838359.8%229 W · 154 L+24.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef77…c481backed Hugo Gaston54c290$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.61758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Felix Gill62c284.66$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3936260.5%219 W · 143 L+27.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Hugo Gaston46c282.61$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13021244.3%94 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Hugo Gaston38c280.87$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.185,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Felix Gill76c263.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7473458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Hugo Gaston31c260.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014347.6%68 W · 75 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Felix Gill61c257$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.045,37748.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e2c…359fbacked Hugo Gaston39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Hugo Gaston31c254.36$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.854,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Felix Gill71c245.48$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7122856.1%128 W · 100 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…6f6abacked Hugo Gaston42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007716.9%13 W · 64 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef1f…d517backed Hugo Gaston31c236.25$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Hugo Gaston30c229.35$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.817655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc172…47cbbacked Hugo Gaston31c225.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705541.8%23 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Felix Gill50c225.49$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.885742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x873d…f7a9backed Hugo Gaston56c222.93$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.795858.6%34 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Hugo Gaston37c222$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.811,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.