TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa35d…102a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT7445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$207.06
Cancun: Moise Kouame vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.59
Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Moez Echarguibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.01
Cancun: Gauthier Onclin vs Timofey Skatovbacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$318.75
Quebec City: Alexis Galarneau vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.69
Cancun: Otto Virtanen vs Moez Echarguibacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.95
Quebec City: Kyrian Jacquet vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$697.46
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Sion: Mika Brunold vs Calvin Hemerybacked Calvin Hemery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.37
Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Radu Albotbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$179.13
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernetbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$95.9
Prague 2: Juan Bautista Torres vs Chun-Hsin Tsengbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$166.03
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Fanming Meng vs Sam Ryan Ziegannbacked Fanming Meng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+124.9%+$124.91
Cincinnati Open: Ugo Humbert vs Michael Zhengbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.59
Roehampton: Alec Deckers vs Conor Gannonbacked Alec Deckers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$50.35
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moellerbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$110.12
Brownsburg: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andres Andradebacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.26
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Jay Dylan Friendbacked Jay Dylan Friend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.86
National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$107.88
Set 1 Winner: Gibson vs Alexandrovabacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Plovdiv 2: Samuele Pieri vs Gerard Campana Leebacked Samuele Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.01
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Aziz Dougazbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$135.88
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.59
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$325.8
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$276
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$445
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.7
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+113%+$233.76
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$894.72
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.61
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$946
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$106.18
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$44.75
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$44.17
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-77.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.44
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.15
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Manel Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$62.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.