MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dbb863adcf68567b574f8201fd6e63f2f061a1e4abe6d09c74f5646f2bd3c9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,099,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,222,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,099,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 327,097$150,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176,632.56 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 222,218$122,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,219.85 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 139,462$68,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,071.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 135,271$70,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,236.56 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 119,565$53,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,760.92 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 90,000$40,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,500 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 57,000$30,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,779.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 37,215$18,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,884.43 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 24,679$14,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,096.05 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 22,651$12,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,301.65 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 21,100$9,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,716 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 33c | 19,259$6,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,288.68 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 16,495$9,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,093.22 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc2…fcadbacked Seattle Mariners | 32c | 15,625$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 15,198$6,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,665.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 21c | 14,003$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.16 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 13,324$5,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,478.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 11,311$6,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,134.18 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 11,004$6,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,061.92 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 7,858$4,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,421.78 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 7,699$4,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,216.51 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 7,579$4,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,305.87 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 6,120$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.51 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 5,593$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.13 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 4,189$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.09 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 4,027$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.04 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 14c | 3,662$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.33 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 31c | 3,600$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 2,989$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.04 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 2,826$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.09 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa986…b4b5backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 2,722$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4312backed Seattle Mariners | 5c | 2,580$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 2,540$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.92 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,882$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.12 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Seattle Mariners | 34c | 1,443$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.55 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,382$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.09 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,260$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,182$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.9 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf146…d3ffbacked Seattle Mariners | 30c | 1,151$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,145$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.07 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,115$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.37 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Seattle Mariners | 11c | 1,114$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.67 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,110$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.75 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,101$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.75 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…7b03backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,048$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Seattle Mariners | 27c | 999.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 960.55$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.06 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Seattle Mariners | 10c | 928.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 871.69$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.79 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…6e34backed Seattle Mariners | 32c | 861.52$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 860.8$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 830$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.5 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 788.06$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.31 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 750$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Seattle Mariners | 38c | 716$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.08 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 687.22$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.97 | 389 | 56.8%221 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 659.36$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.43 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Seattle Mariners | 10c | 643.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 629.69$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.7 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…b054backed Seattle Mariners | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Seattle Mariners | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 596$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.8 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 588.92$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.52 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 7c | 570.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Seattle Mariners | 3c | 563.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 547.78$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.78 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce5…0f71backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 527.46$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 511.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 494.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.62 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 483.58$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.48 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 465$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 460$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 444.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.42 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 430.56$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.01 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Seattle Mariners | 3c | 416.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 406.62$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.36 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.