Tennis · resolved market
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fbfb675b22b08fe9e533b12c6d23c1ef604b80e3fe8ac178cdcb492b2459762
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jan Kumstatof Jan Kumstat, Marvin Moeller
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $466,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $530,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Marvin Moeller | 45c | 43,562$19,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,800 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Marvin Moeller | 70c | 22,315$15,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,609.26 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Jan Kumstat | 56c | 19,985$11,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,793.51 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jan Kumstat | 58c | 16,759$9,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,089.68 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Marvin Moeller | 67c | 16,650$11,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,147.3 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marvin Moeller | 47c | 15,289$7,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,252.76 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Jan Kumstat | 45c | 14,516$6,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,053.16 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Jan Kumstat | 40c | 10,000$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,960 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0210…4debbacked Marvin Moeller | 66c | 9,057$5,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,946.57 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Jan Kumstat | 49c | 8,958$4,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524.8 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…5df7backed Jan Kumstat | 56c | 7,885$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.21 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jan Kumstat | 50c | 7,223$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640.76 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…1a6bbacked Marvin Moeller | 68c | 7,000$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marvin Moeller | 58c | 6,511$3,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,804.3 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Marvin Moeller | 66c | 5,985$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,938.77 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jan Kumstat | 49c | 5,671$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.41 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Marvin Moeller | 53c | 5,656$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.23 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Jan Kumstat | 61c | 5,538$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.69 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Jan Kumstat | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Jan Kumstat | 49c | 3,140$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.53 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Marvin Moeller | 40c | 3,083$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Jan Kumstat | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Marvin Moeller | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…9a05backed Jan Kumstat | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…5269backed Marvin Moeller | 40c | 2,669$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.49 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Marvin Moeller | 39c | 2,640$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.6 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Jan Kumstat | 38c | 2,590$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.82 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed Marvin Moeller | 61c | 2,585$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Jan Kumstat | 54c | 2,545$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.85 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Marvin Moeller | 49c | 2,457$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.67 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Marvin Moeller | 65c | 2,213$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.19 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a2…a5ffbacked Jan Kumstat | 62c | 2,017$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.93 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Marvin Moeller | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Jan Kumstat | 56c | 2,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Jan Kumstat | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Jan Kumstat | 61c | 1,982$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.07 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Jan Kumstat | 33c | 1,800$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.99 | 327 | 35.5%116 W · 211 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Marvin Moeller | 40c | 1,627$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.81 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Jan Kumstat | 37c | 1,543$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.84 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Jan Kumstat | 56c | 1,500$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.5 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Jan Kumstat | 63c | 1,354$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.96 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Marvin Moeller | 47c | 1,293$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.85 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Jan Kumstat | 60c | 1,240$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.37 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Marvin Moeller | 39c | 1,240$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.17 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Marvin Moeller | 48c | 1,150$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Jan Kumstat | 28c | 1,136$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.75 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Jan Kumstat | 40c | 1,111$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.11 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…3f77backed Marvin Moeller | 41c | 1,090$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.9 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Marvin Moeller | 54c | 1,040$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.99 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…1ad4backed Marvin Moeller | 12c | 971.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Jan Kumstat | 52c | 961.31$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.66 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Marvin Moeller | 63c | 954.89$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Jan Kumstat | 56c | 928.57$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.57 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Jan Kumstat | 31c | 923.56$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.49 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Marvin Moeller | 64c | 903.67$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.29 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…9c0dbacked Jan Kumstat | 60c | 782.55$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.06 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Marvin Moeller | 50c | 769.59$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.83 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Jan Kumstat | 77c | 764.23$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Marvin Moeller | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jan Kumstat | 49c | 690.27$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Jan Kumstat | 60c | 689.9$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.91 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Jan Kumstat | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Jan Kumstat | 31c | 665.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.54 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f29…2814backed Jan Kumstat | 62c | 665.31$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.09 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Jan Kumstat | 49c | 663.98$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.38 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Marvin Moeller | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Jan Kumstat | 25c | 648.97$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.41 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…c809backed Jan Kumstat | 61c | 639.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Marvin Moeller | 51c | 617.8$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.83 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Marvin Moeller | 43c | 611.66$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.74 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Marvin Moeller | 75c | 605.64$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.71 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Jan Kumstat | 37c | 600$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.5 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Marvin Moeller | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Marvin Moeller | 61c | 590.97$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.08 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Marvin Moeller | 62c | 586$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.68 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Marvin Moeller | 51c | 583.74$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.81 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Jan Kumstat | 46c | 560.03$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.03 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…2e6bbacked Marvin Moeller | 40c | 559.75$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Jan Kumstat | 38c | 559.03$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.22 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Marvin Moeller | 50c | 557.55$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.06 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Marvin Moeller | 59c | 526.63$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.71 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Jan Kumstat | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Marvin Moeller | 54c | 494.75$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.09 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Jan Kumstat | 62c | 484.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Jan Kumstat | 60c | 466.66$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.66 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Marvin Moeller | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Marvin Moeller | 59c | 453.6$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.96 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Marvin Moeller | 66c | 449.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 458 | 50.7%232 W · 226 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Marvin Moeller | 46c | 439.72$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.17 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Jan Kumstat | 44c | 429.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.49 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Marvin Moeller | 70c | 422$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.4 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Jan Kumstat | 42c | 404.76$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.76 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Jan Kumstat | 44c | 399.91$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.92 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Jan Kumstat | 60c | 390.78$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.87 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e889backed Marvin Moeller | 40c | 387.05$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.82 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Marvin Moeller | 66c | 381.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 281 | 54.8%154 W · 127 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Jan Kumstat | 32c | 375$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…d87cbacked Marvin Moeller | 56c | 374.34$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.57 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Marvin Moeller | 40c | 360$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Jan Kumstat | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moellerthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Kumstat vs MoellerMoeller won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.