TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cancun: Otto Virtanen vs Moez Echargui

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Moez Echarguiof Otto Virtanen, Moez Echargui
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$245,283
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$249,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,283 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Otto Virtanen55c126,033$69,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,00074439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Moez Echargui47c57,909$27,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,626.578,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Moez Echargui34c19,220$6,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,685.511,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Moez Echargui44c13,304$5,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,487.984,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Moez Echargui54c13,287$7,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,158.854,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Moez Echargui53c11,072$5,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,186.5411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Moez Echargui37c6,647$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,182.743,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Otto Virtanen42c6,415$2,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,685.9747728.1%134 W · 343 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1385…db91backed Moez Echargui55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.361353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x928c…0f9ebacked Moez Echargui29c3,500$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4853132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Otto Virtanen39c3,245$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.6962956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Moez Echargui34c2,764$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.321,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Otto Virtanen45c2,667$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20070041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed Moez Echargui62c2,198$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.361747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Moez Echargui32c2,188$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.538557.1%220 W · 165 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Otto Virtanen49c2,024$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.352,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd403…a817backed Otto Virtanen2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40500%0 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Moez Echargui54c1,972$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.9534655.2%191 W · 155 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Otto Virtanen2c1,850$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3718038.3%69 W · 111 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Moez Echargui48c1,708$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9288358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Moez Echargui57c1,640$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.068,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44e…284abacked Otto Virtanen2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309437.2%35 W · 59 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+3.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Otto Virtanen28c1,456$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.66,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Otto Virtanen47c1,269$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.2214151.1%72 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Otto Virtanen74c1,239$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.41,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1407…e56cbacked Otto Virtanen2c1,200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245332.1%17 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec21…33dcbacked Otto Virtanen2c1,200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243729.7%11 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Moez Echargui46c1,172$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.698,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Moez Echargui58c1,110$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.1770254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Moez Echargui53c1,110$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.53,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Moez Echargui57c994.29$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.623834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Moez Echargui54c938.44$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.683,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Otto Virtanen56c774.35$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.021,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35d…102abacked Otto Virtanen49c706.02$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.957445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Moez Echargui52c665.38$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.644,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Otto Virtanen47c620$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.488935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Moez Echargui61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23463648%305 W · 331 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Moez Echargui56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26414043.6%61 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Moez Echargui48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31234047.6%162 W · 178 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf98d…384ebacked Otto Virtanen10c590.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.15056%28 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8784…9b1abacked Otto Virtanen51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006931.9%22 W · 47 L-10.2wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-37%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed Moez Echargui53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.042245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed Otto Virtanen46c550$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25319841.9%83 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Moez Echargui39c546$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.861,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Otto Virtanen80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40046551.2%238 W · 227 L-23.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Moez Echargui56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22010054%54 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68af…2639backed Otto Virtanen41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008859.1%52 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Moez Echargui36c361.11$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.111,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Moez Echargui51c333.23$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6636946.9%173 W · 196 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Moez Echargui54c330.62$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6929552.2%154 W · 141 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Moez Echargui61c328.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.221,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Moez Echargui20c324.98$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.4837238.2%142 W · 230 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Otto Virtanen42c314.12$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0714656.2%82 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Moez Echargui58c265.79$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7932747.7%156 W · 171 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Moez Echargui62c261.29$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.291,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Moez Echargui19c260.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.825,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2f…5e19backed Otto Virtanen71c257.04$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.510761.7%66 W · 41 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Otto Virtanen60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Otto Virtanen46c245.51$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.851,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Moez Echargui22c205.77$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.53,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Moez Echargui22c205.77$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.53,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Otto Virtanen51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10236053.1%191 W · 169 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Moez Echargui50c196.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.655,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed Moez Echargui54c191$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.647040%28 W · 42 L-8.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Moez Echargui54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.198051.3%41 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Otto Virtanen79c184$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3637058.4%216 W · 154 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe05d…b812backed Moez Echargui58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Moez Echargui22c166.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.762,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8468…3860backed Otto Virtanen47c151.06$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7124231%75 W · 167 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b3…966bbacked Moez Echargui60c146.78$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.711450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Moez Echargui36c137.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.51,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7618…24c6backed Moez Echargui59c130.23$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.325135.3%18 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Otto Virtanen79c126.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3234560%207 W · 138 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Moez Echargui48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.741,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Otto Virtanen80c124.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9596755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Otto Virtanen48c110.9$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.674,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Moez Echargui51c107$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.416,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58b…dd02backed Otto Virtanen47c103.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.764930.6%15 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Moez Echargui44c100.59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6921147.9%101 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Moez Echargui21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7993945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6994…fc1fbacked Otto Virtanen46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610945.9%50 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cf…e58cbacked Otto Virtanen50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506354%34 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Moez Echargui55c99.26$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6722245.9%102 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Moez Echargui63c96.47$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5748947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581e…5d85backed Otto Virtanen51c94.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Moez Echargui18c92.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.853,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70fb…946bbacked Moez Echargui60c91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.46243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Moez Echargui54c90.69$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.721,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Moez Echargui17c90$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.481,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Otto Virtanen48c84.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8489134.3%306 W · 585 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e7d…7161backed Moez Echargui24c83.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.321560%9 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+59.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a51…1e9fbacked Otto Virtanen49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021842.2%92 W · 126 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Moez Echargui55c81.09$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.492,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ace…23d1backed Otto Virtanen40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Otto Virtanen39c66.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0816856%94 W · 74 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Moez Echargui46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2227943.4%121 W · 158 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Moez Echargui54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8118648.4%90 W · 96 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe176…0f99backed Moez Echargui62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.521250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe75…5af2backed Moez Echargui77c63.34$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7911662.9%73 W · 43 L+12.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+34%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe1a3…5cabbacked Otto Virtanen44c63.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.81757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.