MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9765b4eeb598565dfa5231e4cb5c40339502a02ab598d83ef7f8dccbe28df4cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $771,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $786,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $771,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 195,118$115,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,107.84 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 162,583$69,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,889.92 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 151,779$61,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,531.13 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 100,000$57,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 87,211$40,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,851.4 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 46,923$25,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,903.8 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 38,516$15,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,791.37 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 25,679$16,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,234.25 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 21,081$8,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,572.63 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 18,392$11,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,988.89 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 15,661$8,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,951.96 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 14,000$6,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,560 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 13,181$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,404.36 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 11,815$5,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,907.6 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 11,140$6,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,718.59 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 9,292$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.53 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 6,504$3,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.79 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 6,244$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.48 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 6,198$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.61 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 6,043$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.28 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 4,928$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.17 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 4,316$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.56 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 4,017$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 3,598$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.18 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 3,594$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 3,415$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.56 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 3,406$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 3,264$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.88 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 3,184$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.93 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 3,135$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.08 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 2,928$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.48 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 2,819$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.8 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 2,715$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.62 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 2,661$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.06 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 2,550$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.5 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 2,468$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.47 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 2,430$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.71 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 2,361$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.83 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,283$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.56 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 2,217$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.39 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 2,183$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.67 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 2,165$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.19 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 2,020$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.75 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 1,184$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.74 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 1,168$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.15 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 1,111$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.96 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,082$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.26 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…70b1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,049$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 1,019$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.8 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.1 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 955.94$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.29 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 923.45$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.08 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 919.15$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.47 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 913.35$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.14 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…102abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 890$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 851.74$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.21 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 821.45$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.36 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 766.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.74 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 766.02$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.07 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 71c | 752.06$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.86 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 724.24$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.75 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 723$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.45 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 716.78$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.91 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 661.05$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.69 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 638$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.53 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 623.45$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.36 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 619$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.17 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 618.99$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.17 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 594.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.75 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 571.57$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.51 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 564.69$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.36 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 541.32$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 514.45$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.36 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 484.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.49 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 471.82$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.82 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 446.45$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.62 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 446$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 436.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 428.33$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.2 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 420$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 414.96$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.28 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.