MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dd9c3ad79f445c50193b94bc363faf5556c99d159b73d240fecac877548dfa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Milwaukee Brewers, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 14,354$7,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,563.34 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 13,961$6,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,167.46 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 10,451$5,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,911.85 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.91 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 8,946$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,227.83 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 6,945$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.6 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 6,498$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.17 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 4,832$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.85 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 3,845$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 2,805$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.95 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,957$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.28 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,452$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.66 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,212$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.88 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,099$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.74 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 992.73$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.36 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 878.69$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.52 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 624$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.16 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 620.64$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.93 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 619.67$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.24 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 441.28$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.15 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 420$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 417.31$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.23 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc679…facdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 416$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 401.55$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.85 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 330.2$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.59 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 197$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 150.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 144.02$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 126.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Milwaukee Brewers | 26c | 119.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 83.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…63b4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 50.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…0d6ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 46.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 41.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ca…3637backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 38.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…2b2fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 27.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 26.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 21.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…cd3fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 19.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 14.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati RedsMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.