TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x69f8…2b2f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT7736.4%28 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$96.53
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$68.87
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.74
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$126.68
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.66
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.04
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.42
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Algeria (-2.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+192%+$153.61
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$57.75
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 3 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald - Game 2 Winnerbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$122.56
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$120.64
Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$55.55
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$39.59
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$33.06
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+102%+$40.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.