WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d2a977d5c16885a51d19bd86b06d4e8a9036473806d5909fe086bff0d97623f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Sparksof New York Liberty, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed New York Liberty | 52c | 13,861$7,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,167.05 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 8,016$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,096.67 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 6,100$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.48 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 4,977$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed New York Liberty | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 3,940$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.13 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 3,773$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 2,528$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.73 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked New York Liberty | 50c | 1,958$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.18 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed New York Liberty | 49c | 1,947$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.23 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 1,215$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.45 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 840$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 30c | 773.01$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.45 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed New York Liberty | 52c | 678.57$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.34 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty | 48c | 618.6$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.33 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…2cbabacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 538.46$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.46 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 500$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked New York Liberty | 78c | 453$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 450.19$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 382.32$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed New York Liberty | 4c | 327.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 264.37$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.47 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 240.9$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…69f9backed New York Liberty | 57c | 202.02$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…e453backed New York Liberty | 53c | 120.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed New York Liberty | 52c | 89.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…2b2fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 80.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 80.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 64.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed New York Liberty | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed New York Liberty | 50c | 46.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 46.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty | 48c | 39.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e138backed New York Liberty | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed New York Liberty | 51c | 33.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed New York Liberty | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 20.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Los Angeles Sparks | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.