WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1ec7925527a9e75f325f05e1b74faa9e83f47bcf5ab218869fb30b24304245e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Sparksof New York Liberty, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed New York Liberty | 49c | 2,281$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Los Angeles Sparks | 58c | 1,637$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.57 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked New York Liberty | 67c | 999$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.33 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 30c | 764.1$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.03 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 562.47$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.61 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 479.97$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.18 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 42c | 412.17$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.52 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 350$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…4302backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…4f8dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…69f9backed New York Liberty | 69c | 193.53$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 172$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 59c | 168.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 30c | 149.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed New York Liberty | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5b…350abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked New York Liberty | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 51.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty | 40c | 49.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Los Angeles Sparks | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 66c | 34.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed New York Liberty | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…1475backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…aa96backed Los Angeles Sparks | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed New York Liberty | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.