WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a6ebee0de8b940ecb95155a6a7d370fdf3b6386a2d52ebde1df194fbe3797a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc87c…afd7backed Over | 51c | 2,104$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 52c | 2,061$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.88 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 2,043$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.82 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Over | 51c | 1,231$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 1,221$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.55 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.99 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 761.57$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 50c | 694.18$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.09 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Under | 50c | 389.88$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…d39cbacked Under | 73c | 344.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 305.69$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.96 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 47c | 176.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 50c | 173.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 166.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 24c | 153.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 25c | 143.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 50c | 136.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 49c | 72.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 32.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.