WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b3a0c263ee98667343b5dae870889d3d97b3a5f0d76269c7a8edc59ba07b7e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 1,092$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.31 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 55c | 945$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.25 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 44c | 924.33$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.61 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed Under | 55c | 879.55$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 46c | 642$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.87 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 420$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 344.75$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.67 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 57c | 284.7$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 26c | 243.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 53c | 217$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.84 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 54c | 203$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 49c | 142.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Over | 73c | 136.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 46c | 120.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 37c | 119.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 37c | 107.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…6c5dbacked Over | 68c | 78.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 47c | 61.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 51c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 47c | 52.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 43c | 48.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Over | 55c | 21.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 70c | 21.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 57c | 18.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.