WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x279cd603bdede32d0cadd1c704fdc156d8aa611ad438572b303639d6098a51c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 6,107$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.49 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 49c | 5,145$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.54 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Over | 50c | 2,020$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 1,512$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.88 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 51c | 1,217$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.67 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 1,147$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.94 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 700.99$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.92 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 603.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.68 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 49c | 496.06$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.99 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 35c | 389.3$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Over | 51c | 352.61$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 49c | 203.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Under | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Under | 55c | 124.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 48c | 124$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 25c | 120.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…7b62backed Over | 36c | 108.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…8acdbacked Under | 33c | 105.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 49c | 93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…6c5dbacked Over | 67c | 80.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2750…3134backed Under | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 54c | 61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 32c | 59.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 50c | 57.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under | 73c | 55.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Over | 49c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Under | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 34c | 43.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 62c | 42.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e138backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 65c | 34.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 43c | 27.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 77c | 23.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 48c | 23.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 51c | 22.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.