WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48d2d0b97840da754097461bda1f9dabf3b98632403fe38fef7559b037fd25da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Sparksof New York Liberty, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed New York Liberty | 57c | 15,623$8,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,846.85 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed New York Liberty | 54c | 10,070$5,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,413.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 9,913$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,470.72 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Sparks | 43c | 4,250$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 3,600$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.01 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 25c | 2,910$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.54 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…6586backed Los Angeles Sparks | 40c | 2,748$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 1,028$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 840$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 43c | 701.85$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.05 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed New York Liberty | 21c | 675.18$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked New York Liberty | 54c | 653.1$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.02 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 571.37$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.54 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…599cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked New York Liberty | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 43c | 330$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.4 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed New York Liberty | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…893dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 299.53$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 280$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 267.56$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 150.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Los Angeles Sparks | 43c | 129.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked New York Liberty | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed New York Liberty | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Los Angeles Sparks | 71c | 89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed New York Liberty | 55c | 78.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 65.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Los Angeles Sparks | 76c | 63.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 63.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 61.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 54.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed New York Liberty | 55c | 54.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked New York Liberty | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 46.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403a…3173backed New York Liberty | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked New York Liberty | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed New York Liberty | 60c | 30.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.