TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,364,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,645,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,364,519 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 579 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked No14c1,348,975$191,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,356.4933538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No16c568,925$90,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,327.385942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed No14c300,000$42,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,999.982729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8740…6facbacked No16c290,306$45,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,328.042133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+78.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No1c224,258$3,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,152.643,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No16c200,000$32,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,00020844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No15c199,998$29,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,999.6714732%47 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No14c199,997$28,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,999.557941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No16c153,430$24,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,241.2629952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No15c149,999$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,999.9121444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No1c104,802$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.74,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No15c98,657$14,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,967.5516835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed No0c97,060$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1242710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No15c92,999$13,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,819.8610548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed No16c77,800$12,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,447.9919345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No3c74,606$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.1742541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No15c66,667$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00014055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No2c64,018$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.762516%4 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-57.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2a…1fcabacked No16c50,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0008048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked No3c50,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x243b…0625backed No0c50,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504226.2%11 W · 31 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick17cpaid+33.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadef…02ccbacked No15c46,737$6,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,866.177723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b76…0c37backed No19c45,419$8,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,629.661717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No14c42,939$6,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,011.537843.6%34 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked No1c41,271$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.6566846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No3c40,023$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No10c35,015$3,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,608.2756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b6…a582backed No0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308461.9%52 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fab…232fbacked No14c30,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.953534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb376…a463backed No14c28,650$4,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,010.967343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8436…4c19backed No17c27,499$4,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,674.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No3c27,168$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.0326534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked No14c26,564$3,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,718.914936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed No15c25,224$3,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,792.541529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed No16c25,000$3,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9506030%18 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked No1c24,732$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.4314715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No3c21,004$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.5216244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked No16c19,883$3,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,280.6822846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked No11c19,234$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.968450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No7c18,040$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.7811642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No1c16,431$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7748438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed No2c16,301$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4b…2601backed No14c15,957$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.942231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No5c15,021$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.3431945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked No18c14,999$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.8418843.6%82 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No3c14,979$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.2828133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed No16c14,603$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350.399238%35 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No2c14,064$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.3121749.8%108 W · 109 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed No6c13,476$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.9519411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa573…3987backed No14c12,480$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.26227.4%17 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x128b…bee9backed No0c11,757$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.946956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No13c11,499$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.629333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked No1c11,443$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.734623.9%11 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ad…7e0dbacked No14c11,150$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.032412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No14c10,880$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.2344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No5c10,870$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.120839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c1…d177backed No15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003145.2%14 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc098…cd90backed No15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006219.4%12 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No17c10,000$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.3530751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No16c10,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.922817.9%5 W · 23 L-6.4wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-55.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No1c9,973$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8113826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No5c9,237$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.291,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No14c9,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2601,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No18c8,733$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.924441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad84…dcf1backed No14c8,443$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1823930.8%12 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked No15c8,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005219.2%10 W · 42 L-9.8wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-52.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x11e1…5621backed No1c7,568$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.813635.3%48 W · 88 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d3a…9683backed No15c7,459$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.253528.6%10 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4719…8d69backed No15c7,114$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.071926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2059…f3adbacked No14c6,988$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.322524%6 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b1…debabacked No14c6,955$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.741915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No12c6,849$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.885635.7%20 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No16c6,843$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.2450243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No15c6,728$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.759943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca02…76d3backed No15c6,670$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.57835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed No15c6,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000466.5%3 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-88.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc330…e776backed No15c6,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016732.3%54 W · 113 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No18c6,500$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed No18c6,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0809823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed No16c6,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked No0c5,647$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5912252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed No0c5,420$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7478317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed No15c5,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No17c5,223$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.633549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed No17c5,088$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.1958029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed No15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid0%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked No14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…642cbacked No0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109322.6%21 W · 72 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0509719.6%19 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed No3c5,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb94…494fbacked No17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.941428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No18c4,801$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.6544144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe375…fc39backed No14c4,790$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf271…acf2backed No2c4,768$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808727.6%24 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed No14c4,752$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.255223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x639d…4777backed Yes80c4,623$3,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.253644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed No14c4,551$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.091816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb3e…7286backed No1c4,419$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.615530.9%17 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b5…3a6abacked No14c4,267$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.331717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-59.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked No1c4,167$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2547029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.