TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,397,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,705,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,397,146 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 601 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16dc…adeebacked Yes0c449,023$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.9660%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes0c212,500$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92513811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c170,746$6,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,571.548,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes10c150,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.9733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x454e…62b9backed Yes11c100,000$11,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,246.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde29…89b1backed Yes12c99,998$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.741915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Yes3c75,502$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.6334964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes2c64,985$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.174,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c8c…6b71backed Yes11c63,000$6,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9301225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes11c60,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,60014727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e87…da91backed Yes11c59,126$6,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,503.832347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb60b…3f85backed Yes0c48,566$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.65616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick10cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes10c47,265$4,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,726.511,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Yes11c45,000$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7509525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d96…443ebacked Yes1c41,627$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-75.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd095…dcd9backed Yes3c39,050$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0131533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes1c37,712$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4311421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes10c37,135$3,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,713.531,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f1…87b3backed Yes1c33,837$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-79.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x506b…b0febacked Yes11c32,727$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6006111.5%7 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6880…cf03backed Yes11c30,909$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4006048.3%29 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a1…a41ebacked Yes0c24,521$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2114032.1%45 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes1c23,899$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200515.9%3 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes11c20,162$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,196.1810548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes12c20,077$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.051529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce86…c7c7backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7a…29f6backed Yes1c18,401$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.34035%14 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cae…127dbacked Yes1c14,740$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4740%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb907…539abacked Yes1c14,281$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010718.7%20 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Yes11c13,636$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009443.6%41 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc330…e776backed Yes1c12,883$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016732.3%54 W · 113 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Yes1c12,233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100466.5%3 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-88.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6196…e13cbacked Yes3c11,543$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Yes0c10,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25494.1%2 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-60.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Yes10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes1c9,963$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5915127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes10c9,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x303a…02d8backed Yes1c8,773$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.961010%1 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-84.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes10c8,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe195…15aebacked Yes0c7,700$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.93613.9%5 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd045…519bbacked Yes1c7,365$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.23128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-87.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba19…b39dbacked Yes11c7,245$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.9240%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Yes11c7,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7707346.6%34 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes7c6,238$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.7279231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9a…09a5backed Yes0c6,053$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.123810.5%4 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-74.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Yes1c6,044$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.29943.4%43 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes14c5,498$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.991,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes9c5,150$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.2965835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c9…4179backed Yes2c5,015$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003312.1%4 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc034…1ae4backed Yes3c5,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501428.6%4 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55021542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce0…3125backed Yes1c5,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402528%7 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb94…494fbacked Yes11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a44…8985backed Yes11c4,526$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.91631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Yes11c4,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49547643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d12…7954backed Yes7c4,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x368f…a97ebacked Yes1c4,500$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2660%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes2c4,355$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0119818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Yes12c4,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…7700backed Yes0c4,170$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55a8…7245backed Yes13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008725.3%22 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a25…b124backed Yes14c3,665$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005018%9 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes11c3,500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x107a…d3c6backed Yes0c3,500$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.43944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Yes1c3,500$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210624.5%26 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0385…96c8backed Yes3c3,361$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008837.5%33 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes1c3,223$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5678317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f1…3ccdbacked Yes13c3,077$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.013633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef33…6be3backed Yes13c3,077$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009232.6%30 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96e2…d8f6backed Yes7c3,039$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008827.3%24 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14f…9a6ebacked Yes2c2,853$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.43per pick15cpaid+437.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Yes9c2,836$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5421633.8%73 W · 143 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Yes11c2,818$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5f…6b9cbacked Yes12c2,775$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3335422.2%12 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d06…0f3ebacked Yes11c2,727$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82c…7f9abacked Yes1c2,596$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.48616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-74%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae3…d515backed Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x399a…7e09backed Yes1c2,426$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-62.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Yes12c2,400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29644144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61f…35a6backed Yes11c2,273$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25031842.5%135 W · 183 L+0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0675…b560backed Yes5c2,176$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.633151.6%16 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Yes2c2,159$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1716325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes1c2,039$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3866846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5ce…8c14backed Yes1c2,031$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.372512%3 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes5c2,009$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1515043.3%65 W · 85 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes12c2,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.021,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes12c2,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2309819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0d…6b6abacked Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-74.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010026%26 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes12c2,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes11c1,999$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9214249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0f8…64e7backed Yes1c1,960$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63030%9 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+63.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d4b…fc54backed Yes1c1,938$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.631233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Yes12c1,860$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.610224.5%25 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa7…e4adbacked Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005320.8%11 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Yes11c1,782$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19622436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6b…3e58backed Yes1c1,778$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610911%12 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f69…78e2backed Yes2c1,771$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f9…06b2backed Yes1c1,750$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-76.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.