TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OGof REKONIX, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$363,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$457,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,743 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 505 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3b0…329ebacked OG63c20,000$12,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,301.4480256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed OG58c17,171$10,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,127.099733%32 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked OG71c10,860$7,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,167.491,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked REKONIX38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80065863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed OG58c7,907$4,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,329.31,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked REKONIX35c7,841$2,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,717.6189741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c5b…b82bbacked OG68c7,495$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.881070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed REKONIX41c4,396$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80034051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed OG63c4,290$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.0996557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked OG60c4,056$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.9116746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked REKONIX47c3,987$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.473351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed REKONIX18c3,700$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.9951544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed REKONIX43c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50536248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked REKONIX35c3,487$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.531,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked OG57c3,410$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.183050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed REKONIX29c3,319$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.9710040%40 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked REKONIX41c3,083$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.7425549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed REKONIX37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11079959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed REKONIX43c2,963$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.210050%50 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX38c2,948$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.4688539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed REKONIX33c2,925$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.854946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed REKONIX31c2,885$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.9671143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked OG63c2,749$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.595244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX33c2,738$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.611,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed REKONIX43c2,730$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.8228341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked REKONIX34c2,409$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.922543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked REKONIX37c2,283$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.642352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed REKONIX20c2,258$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.965836.2%21 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed REKONIX45c2,209$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.646541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX43c2,176$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.361,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed OG76c2,147$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.7348057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed REKONIX43c2,054$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.568536.5%31 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed REKONIX26c2,020$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.4837832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed REKONIX28c2,020$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.8654246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed OG60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80053652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed OG67c2,000$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.0911753%62 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked REKONIX39c1,976$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.944050%20 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked OG65c1,810$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.2361456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed REKONIX34c1,807$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.2934442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked REKONIX40c1,807$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.9828145.6%128 W · 153 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed REKONIX35c1,803$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.3732441.7%135 W · 189 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed OG56c1,782$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.4714258.5%83 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX40c1,750$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70081029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x729b…1b33backed OG57c1,742$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.11887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick49cpaid+73.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2831…5473backed OG78c1,719$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.594973.5%36 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX23c1,708$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.521,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked OG74c1,629$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4183762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REKONIX31c1,609$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.171,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed REKONIX37c1,555$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.779954.5%54 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked OG64c1,544$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.5379859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed REKONIX34c1,466$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50043344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed REKONIX26c1,455$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.2969132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a0…87e7backed REKONIX29c1,406$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.4910933%36 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32eb…ded0backed OG72c1,326$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.62955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed REKONIX7c1,310$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.43323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf05…5efcbacked REKONIX9c1,233$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.27147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-79.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked REKONIX19c1,214$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0622031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed OG76c1,192$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.7433041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked REKONIX42c1,166$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.725949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked OG57c1,159$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.5216147.2%76 W · 85 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked REKONIX27c1,129$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.1399844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked REKONIX31c1,128$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.7195342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked REKONIX28c1,117$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.115050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf346…1b8ebacked REKONIX25c1,100$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.4522438.8%87 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa927…4847backed REKONIX18c1,086$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed OG58c1,071$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.77650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed OG58c1,069$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.6721146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked OG76c1,044$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.159344.1%41 W · 52 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked REKONIX35c1,035$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.024443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked REKONIX38c1,000$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37819338.9%75 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed REKONIX39c1,000$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3855653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed REKONIX32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32057449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed REKONIX40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40029143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked REKONIX38c997.51$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.981250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed OG54c988.77$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.3238142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed REKONIX5c949.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f0b…ef1dbacked REKONIX45c934.75$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.641838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed OG72c904.03$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.134768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed REKONIX40c900$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35817737.9%67 W · 110 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX26c891.55$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.652,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed REKONIX34c866.3$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29717852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked OG53c850$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+89.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked OG65c850$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.1132756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX42c831.72$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.861,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2776…4ecbbacked REKONIX36c820$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.927262.5%45 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed OG60c810$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.921833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed REKONIX20c800$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked REKONIX44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35259254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed OG67c791.84$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.316431.3%20 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked REKONIX23c786.72$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.0558746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed REKONIX36c784.94$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.537541.3%31 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b1…1b71backed REKONIX38c783.45$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.636741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked OG72c773$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.3386659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c6…dcacbacked REKONIX41c750$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.310653.8%57 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed REKONIX40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed OG65c749.99$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.543738.4%168 W · 269 L-1.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked REKONIX24c733.15$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3689938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed OG62c726.02$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.593534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked OG63c716.22$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.3850850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed REKONIX31c712.58$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.4893546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.