Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b59b2e98e2a407177da46871f21e45964064c48188c075ffcf9d3c99d730957
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof REKONIX, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed OG | 54c | 39,883$21,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,276.9 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked REKONIX | 34c | 14,450$4,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,958.84 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked REKONIX | 37c | 10,479$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,848.31 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed OG | 64c | 4,478$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.28 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed REKONIX | 26c | 3,666$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.84 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed REKONIX | 43c | 3,511$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.27 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked REKONIX | 42c | 3,417$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.23 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked REKONIX | 53c | 3,378$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.05 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked REKONIX | 8c | 3,261$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed OG | 58c | 2,241$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.45 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed REKONIX | 37c | 2,142$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.78 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed REKONIX | 52c | 2,005$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed OG | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 44c | 2,000$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.58 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed REKONIX | 48c | 1,736$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.75 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed OG | 62c | 1,578$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.22 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed REKONIX | 29c | 1,380$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.85 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed REKONIX | 50c | 1,377$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed REKONIX | 24c | 1,350$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX | 26c | 1,170$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.42 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed REKONIX | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 40c | 1,006$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.51 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked REKONIX | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked OG | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked REKONIX | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked REKONIX | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed REKONIX | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REKONIX | 47c | 874.12$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.7 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed REKONIX | 8c | 871.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked OG | 66c | 819.98$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.32 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked REKONIX | 42c | 768.5$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked OG | 57c | 719.98$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.59 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked OG | 59c | 710.43$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.61 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 50c | 700.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.77 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed OG | 56c | 665.16$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.75 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed OG | 52c | 662.94$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.89 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 51c | 636.82$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.48 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked OG | 66c | 571.05$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed REKONIX | 34c | 553.14$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.78 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed REKONIX | 44c | 550.48$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.92 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 27c | 507.26$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked OG | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed OG | 55c | 499.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.49 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed REKONIX | 33c | 498.5$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.51 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked OG | 74c | 491.62$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.21 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked REKONIX | 44c | 474.63$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.15 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed REKONIX | 9c | 445.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed REKONIX | 47c | 409.85$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.63 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed REKONIX | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed REKONIX | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked OG | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed OG | 72c | 398.38$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.94 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked OG | 52c | 378.85$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.85 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed OG | 63c | 358.26$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked REKONIX | 44c | 345$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed REKONIX | 45c | 345$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed OG | 68c | 344.73$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.59 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed REKONIX | 28c | 341$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c3bfbacked REKONIX | 45c | 307.88$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed REKONIX | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked OG | 68c | 292.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 40c | 291.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed REKONIX | 44c | 267.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…2b2fbacked REKONIX | 45c | 266.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed OG | 77c | 260.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed REKONIX | 49c | 252.02$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x158e…216bbacked OG | 80c | 250.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed REKONIX | 51c | 249.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed REKONIX | 7c | 249.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed REKONIX | 41c | 240.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed OG | 49c | 225.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.26 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed REKONIX | 15c | 219.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed REKONIX | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked OG | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…a24abacked REKONIX | 46c | 214.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX | 14c | 214$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed OG | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed OG | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed REKONIX | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked OG | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked OG | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed REKONIX | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed REKONIX | 16c | 197.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed REKONIX | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed REKONIX | 51c | 195.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed REKONIX | 43c | 191.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed REKONIX | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked REKONIX | 44c | 187.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed OG | 80c | 185$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed OG | 63c | 184.92$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked REKONIX | 10c | 172.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed OG | 55c | 172.28$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed REKONIX | 48c | 160.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed REKONIX | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed REKONIX | 47c | 149.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed OG | 54c | 146.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed REKONIX | 45c | 143.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…0f14backed REKONIX | 12c | 137.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe04…a198backed OG | 66c | 135.15$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsOG won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
- Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)REKONIX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.