Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6ffc5f871129b1c73e328073ca2c2641c5cdc897ec0ceda8cba3417710922c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof REKONIX, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed OG | 52c | 36,726$18,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,982.39 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked REKONIX | 45c | 12,928$5,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,152.36 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed REKONIX | 46c | 12,560$5,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,782.29 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked REKONIX | 45c | 10,459$4,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,801.12 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed REKONIX | 42c | 7,978$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,633.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked OG | 67c | 5,250$3,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,534.07 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked OG | 65c | 4,917$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.01 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked REKONIX | 48c | 4,412$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.92 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed OG | 56c | 4,307$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.2 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed OG | 41c | 3,790$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.6 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed REKONIX | 34c | 3,144$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.95 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked OG | 49c | 3,088$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.9 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed REKONIX | 62c | 3,055$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed OG | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed REKONIX | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed OG | 69c | 2,943$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked REKONIX | 68c | 2,773$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 69c | 2,748$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed OG | 60c | 2,278$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.99 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed OG | 61c | 2,090$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.18 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed OG | 61c | 2,041$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.96 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed OG | 36c | 2,019$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.76 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed OG | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed REKONIX | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.2 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 34c | 1,840$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.2 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed OG | 49c | 1,567$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.8 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked OG | 72c | 1,541$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.44 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked OG | 52c | 1,529$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 37c | 1,479$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.15 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed REKONIX | 33c | 1,380$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.2 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed OG | 53c | 1,256$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.9 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…b516backed OG | 6c | 1,251$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed REKONIX | 47c | 1,250$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.49 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked OG | 46c | 1,200$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.99 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed REKONIX | 35c | 1,193$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.98 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked OG | 4c | 1,107$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 223 | 39%87 W · 136 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX | 35c | 1,083$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.05 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed REKONIX | 44c | 1,068$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.4 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…e1d2backed OG | 5c | 1,067$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 51c | 1,056$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.17 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked REKONIX | 61c | 1,045$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.48 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked REKONIX | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.08 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed OG | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed OG | 9c | 967.17$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed REKONIX | 57c | 954.7$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.78 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed REKONIX | 43c | 953.37$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.34 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed REKONIX | 64c | 946.77$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.03 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked REKONIX | 42c | 936.51$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.91 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed OG | 29c | 899.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 40c | 894.62$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.66 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX | 59c | 874.1$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.41 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed OG | 26c | 862.22$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.29 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed REKONIX | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked REKONIX | 39c | 796$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.49 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked OG | 70c | 737.46$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.28 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed REKONIX | 42c | 727.08$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.91 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked REKONIX | 66c | 718.27$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.77 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed REKONIX | 40c | 697.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.79 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed OG | 57c | 676.59$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.65 | 427 | 67%286 W · 141 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed REKONIX | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed REKONIX | 73c | 602.25$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.86 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked REKONIX | 67c | 602.03$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.67 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked REKONIX | 28c | 597.12$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.92 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked REKONIX | 72c | 583.57$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.48 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed OG | 4c | 574.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed REKONIX | 40c | 552.52$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.52 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed REKONIX | 44c | 549.42$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked OG | 36c | 546.31$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.3 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked REKONIX | 49c | 534.04$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.72 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked OG | 47c | 521.25$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.6 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked REKONIX | 38c | 509.96$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.17 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked REKONIX | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked REKONIX | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked REKONIX | 79c | 498.99$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c3bfbacked REKONIX | 60c | 490.58$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.28 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…7442backed OG | 24c | 475$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked OG | 52c | 462.63$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.05 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed OG | 65c | 459.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed OG | 23c | 442.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda45…a2c6backed OG | 60c | 430$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked REKONIX | 36c | 422$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.06 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed OG | 31c | 421.09$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed REKONIX | 38c | 409.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.31 | 322 | 41.6%134 W · 188 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed OG | 55c | 407.93$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.04 | 419 | 53.7%225 W · 194 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked OG | 62c | 405.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked OG | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed REKONIX | 34c | 392.41$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.73 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked OG | 39c | 387.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed REKONIX | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed REKONIX | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed OG | 40c | 380.25$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed OG | 54c | 371.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.27 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…74c2backed REKONIX | 39c | 370.59$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.06 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed REKONIX | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked REKONIX | 58c | 349.08$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.63 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked OG | 47c | 342.55$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed OG | 60c | 335.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed OG | 19c | 333$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed REKONIX | 40c | 328.2$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.92 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked OG | 62c | 327.58$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsOG won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)REKONIX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.