Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa88a1078ad9d76ccb42ce490193fb1c06b6075daa9230b48a4fb1714dbc64f6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, MODUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 26,264$15,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,074.23 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MODUS | 40c | 10,104$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,036.45 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 9,500$5,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.44 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 7,050$4,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.51 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MODUS | 44c | 4,353$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.68 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MODUS | 44c | 3,765$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.59 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed MODUS | 47c | 2,902$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed MODUS | 44c | 2,440$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.69 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed MODUS | 38c | 2,373$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.65 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed MODUS | 13c | 2,303$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 2,221$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.09 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 2,056$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.05 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked MODUS | 36c | 2,000$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.08 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Rune Eaters | 69c | 1,788$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.46 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed MODUS | 42c | 1,781$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.96 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed MODUS | 37c | 1,638$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.79 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…612cbacked MODUS | 38c | 1,581$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MODUS | 30c | 1,556$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.67 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MODUS | 35c | 1,541$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.51 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad1…12b9backed MODUS | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed MODUS | 35c | 1,460$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.89 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS | 43c | 1,424$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.45 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Rune Eaters | 64c | 1,377$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.59 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MODUS | 19c | 1,041$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.48 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MODUS | 37c | 1,027$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.81 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed MODUS | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed MODUS | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MODUS | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MODUS | 25c | 970.66$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.11 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 899.97$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.04 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 839.99$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed MODUS | 30c | 812.2$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.66 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed MODUS | 27c | 750$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 725.81$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.55 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked MODUS | 30c | 719.61$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 670.09$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.24 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked MODUS | 29c | 670$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed MODUS | 37c | 660.41$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.35 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed MODUS | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed MODUS | 38c | 639.47$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 555$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 545.43$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.54 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Rune Eaters | 64c | 536.66$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.19 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked MODUS | 37c | 525$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.6 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 524.53$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.59 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed MODUS | 10c | 520.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MODUS | 38c | 510.97$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.17 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Rune Eaters | 74c | 501.35$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.7 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MODUS | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed MODUS | 3c | 499.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MODUS | 36c | 476.54$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.14 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 476$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.12 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MODUS | 39c | 404.53$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.27 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked MODUS | 50c | 401.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…ed87backed MODUS | 51c | 393.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed MODUS | 31c | 373.91$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.91 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 351.94$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.94 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 349.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed MODUS | 55c | 332.93$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.7 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 330.49$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.01 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 326.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.08 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 325$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed MODUS | 51c | 321.2$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.71 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 308.01$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 305.07$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.78 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed MODUS | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 297.74$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa851…4dedbacked MODUS | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.07 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed MODUS | 30c | 280$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked MODUS | 36c | 278.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed MODUS | 36c | 274.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed MODUS | 36c | 263.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Rune Eaters | 76c | 263.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed MODUS | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed MODUS | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MODUS | 48c | 256.13$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.93 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 253.73$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MODUS | 53c | 248.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.02 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MODUS | 38c | 239.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 234.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 230.66$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked MODUS | 37c | 228.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…f9c4backed MODUS | 34c | 227.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 226$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed MODUS | 36c | 218$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed MODUS | 38c | 207.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 200.12$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed MODUS | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed MODUS | 38c | 196$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked MODUS | 36c | 174.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed MODUS | 40c | 171.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…e0a3backed MODUS | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked MODUS | 33c | 162.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked MODUS | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…2b2fbacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 157.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed MODUS | 22c | 152.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsMODUS won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerMODUS won
- Game Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs MODUS (+1.5)MODUS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.