TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MODUSof Rune Eaters, MODUS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$406,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$463,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,496 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Rune Eaters64c55,603$35,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,346.941,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed MODUS34c21,044$7,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,888.7515951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Rune Eaters58c20,099$11,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,657.3647146.1%217 W · 254 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed MODUS79c10,885$8,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.9950449.2%248 W · 256 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed MODUS36c9,629$3,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,158.9526540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed MODUS69c7,000$4,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193.2511953.8%64 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Rune Eaters64c5,779$3,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,680.9192846.2%429 W · 499 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked MODUS37c5,728$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,586.6694442.3%399 W · 545 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed MODUS51c5,439$2,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.7843344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MODUS51c5,319$2,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,585.411,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked Rune Eaters8c5,094$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.3722031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Rune Eaters37c4,776$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.5150850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed MODUS28c4,645$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,343.935062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked Rune Eaters23c4,500$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0352055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed MODUS39c4,147$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.5313635.3%48 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked Rune Eaters15c3,872$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.418538.8%33 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Rune Eaters71c3,769$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.6271454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Rune Eaters24c3,539$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.1867932.5%221 W · 458 L-27.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed MODUS75c3,510$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.7430667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed MODUS43c3,425$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.6779559.4%472 W · 323 L+3.7wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Rune Eaters42c3,350$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40047457.4%272 W · 202 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe694…0a08backed Rune Eaters66c3,173$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.4717952.5%94 W · 85 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed MODUS55c3,033$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.3410051%51 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Rune Eaters8c3,000$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0751544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed MODUS38c2,987$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.555836.2%21 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed MODUS43c2,943$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.5733041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Rune Eaters32c2,596$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.8750832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Rune Eaters40c2,500$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.5556949%279 W · 290 L+34.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed MODUS35c2,402$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.1931248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MODUS35c2,250$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.7381029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters50c2,193$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.221,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Rune Eaters12c2,108$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.3265625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked MODUS40c2,100$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26130854.9%169 W · 139 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked MODUS50c2,000$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.5815050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MODUS35c2,000$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.9889440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed MODUS40c1,972$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.334442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c13…71a1backed MODUS38c1,925$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.884540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed MODUS38c1,911$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.8223342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Rune Eaters43c1,820$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.2328341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked MODUS44c1,801$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.7948843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Rune Eaters51c1,776$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.0610961.5%67 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Rune Eaters61c1,640$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.7499844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed MODUS76c1,619$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.5226247.7%125 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedbb…f53cbacked Rune Eaters19c1,571$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Rune Eaters42c1,510$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.971752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed MODUS29c1,505$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.899954.5%54 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed MODUS45c1,460$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.5154246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Rune Eaters61c1,330$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.327060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed MODUS36c1,324$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.021,24744.4%554 W · 693 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Rune Eaters23c1,294$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29419547.7%93 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Rune Eaters27c1,288$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.4717852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Rune Eaters39c1,239$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.261249.7%304 W · 308 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed MODUS39c1,229$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.8364149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed MODUS36c1,202$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.8112640.5%51 W · 75 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Rune Eaters69c1,106$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.9422543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Rune Eaters61c1,090$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.7589341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Rune Eaters42c1,072$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.3849952.9%264 W · 235 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed MODUS42c1,065$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.1735637.1%132 W · 224 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed Rune Eaters61c1,007$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.38650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Rune Eaters54c994.44$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.0430138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rune Eaters13c967.54$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12337632.2%121 W · 255 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked MODUS14c964.77$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.65650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed MODUS42c935$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.9515539.4%61 W · 94 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed Rune Eaters28c926.02$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.896443.8%28 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Rune Eaters52c919.46$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.3865447.4%310 W · 344 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed MODUS41c865.58$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.0958156.6%329 W · 252 L+27.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Rune Eaters15c856.7$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8745352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed Rune Eaters30c845.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029240.8%119 W · 173 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Rune Eaters49c841.99$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.5818437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked MODUS42c815.71$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.717652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked MODUS43c762$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.554753.2%25 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Rune Eaters66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001275%9 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked Rune Eaters18c708.03$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12720538.5%79 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13ee…01aebacked MODUS42c698$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.846744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed MODUS66c669.6$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23040933%135 W · 274 L-36.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Rune Eaters8c661.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.341953.7%225 W · 194 L+16.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed MODUS35c645$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.7141055.1%226 W · 184 L+39.6wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed MODUS78c635.78$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7558742.8%251 W · 336 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Rune Eaters25c624$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3788938%338 W · 551 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Rune Eaters26c615.44$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16096245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked MODUS63c607.67$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9167546.1%311 W · 364 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters16c606.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.071,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Rune Eaters59c598.69$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.2336248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b1…1b71backed MODUS42c584.44$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.936741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Rune Eaters57c573.68$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3271,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed MODUS42c571.43$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.4315150.3%76 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked MODUS35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4310437.5%39 W · 65 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed MODUS36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.561546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb24f…3432backed Rune Eaters12c550$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.513742.3%58 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4def…276abacked Rune Eaters20c549$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Rune Eaters24c529.69$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.691,11336.2%403 W · 710 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed Rune Eaters71c526.36$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.1615848.1%76 W · 82 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0bef…3787backed Rune Eaters62c520.99$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b5…205abacked Rune Eaters43c516.77$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2131953.9%172 W · 147 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba01…1a89backed Rune Eaters58c516.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Rune Eaters12c516.67$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629543.2%41 W · 54 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked MODUS39c503.49$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.1353444.4%237 W · 297 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked MODUS42c501.75$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29116147.2%76 W · 85 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed MODUS36c500.1$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.0619643.9%86 W · 110 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked MODUS42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29065863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.