Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd62f73f13511cea72484d5db62f23ab9953862da16878a75b20e31ac4d5c02e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MODUSof Rune Eaters, MODUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 24,124$16,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,300 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MODUS | 34c | 12,301$4,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,123.53 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MODUS | 33c | 11,220$3,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,472.94 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed MODUS | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.94 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 9,880$6,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,478.99 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MODUS | 34c | 8,333$2,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,460.76 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MODUS | 34c | 7,000$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,631.24 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 3,206$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.54 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 2,966$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.89 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 2,695$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.44 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked MODUS | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.98 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Rune Eaters | 2c | 2,465$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Rune Eaters | 68c | 2,397$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.37 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 2,056$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.73 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MODUS | 51c | 2,024$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.56 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MODUS | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed MODUS | 60c | 2,000$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.54 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MODUS | 33c | 1,799$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.84 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 1,452$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.83 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 1,285$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.79 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed MODUS | 34c | 1,261$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.26 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 1,250$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.49 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 1,250$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.49 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 1,222$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.08 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 1,174$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.27 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 1,154$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.66 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed MODUS | 35c | 1,106$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.42 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Rune Eaters | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed MODUS | 33c | 999.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.73 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked MODUS | 35c | 999.18$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.49 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 998.5$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.99 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Rune Eaters | 69c | 937$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.18 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MODUS | 36c | 907.69$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed MODUS | 34c | 881.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.83 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed MODUS | 77c | 875.11$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.28 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 869.1$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.48 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 800$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed MODUS | 38c | 789.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.74 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed MODUS | 32c | 762$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.04 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 751.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed MODUS | 66c | 749.11$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.41 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 677$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.13 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 669$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.06 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 660$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.12 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Rune Eaters | 68c | 638.76$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 626.75$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.22 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked MODUS | 45c | 616.01$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.01 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed MODUS | 35c | 599.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 571.42$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.91 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MODUS | 39c | 554.4$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.04 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed MODUS | 36c | 544.72$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.72 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 517.26$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.56 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 500.71$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.36 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked MODUS | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Rune Eaters | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MODUS | 33c | 499.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.89 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked MODUS | 34c | 499.56$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.84 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed MODUS | 37c | 497.66$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.9 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 494.01$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.99 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 489$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.13 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 420.31$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.59 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked MODUS | 75c | 408.79$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked MODUS | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.05 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked MODUS | 53c | 374.36$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.93 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed MODUS | 33c | 367.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.1 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed MODUS | 69c | 357.68$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 357$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.76 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Rune Eaters | 73c | 355.14$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 350$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed MODUS | 31c | 349.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.48 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MODUS | 44c | 338.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.97 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…8e92backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 335.25$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed MODUS | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed MODUS | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed MODUS | 40c | 303$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.8 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed MODUS | 34c | 299.72$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.96 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 294.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 293$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.91 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 287.16$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed MODUS | 35c | 284.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.04 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MODUS | 51c | 283.24$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.19 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 275$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed MODUS | 34c | 274.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.38 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 274$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Rune Eaters | 74c | 269.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked MODUS | 36c | 260$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.8 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 254.44$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 251.35$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked MODUS | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked MODUS | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Rune Eaters | 72c | 247$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked MODUS | 38c | 240$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked MODUS | 33c | 239.52$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…2b2fbacked MODUS | 34c | 233.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.61 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed MODUS | 55c | 216.04$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsMODUS won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Game Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs MODUS (+1.5)MODUS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.