Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18cd0a03861233ffc247135642b71a779e040a2877076289f1c452051a9342cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Grind Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $452,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed OG | 62c | 62,165$38,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,567.78 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Grind Back | 21c | 28,226$5,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,961.96 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Grind Back | 36c | 22,222$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.9 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Grind Back | 33c | 20,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.97 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Grind Back | 28c | 20,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.77 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Grind Back | 21c | 19,430$4,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.06 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Grind Back | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.99 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 60c | 9,000$5,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.84 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Grind Back | 43c | 8,347$3,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,563.43 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Grind Back | 36c | 8,121$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.68 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked OG | 64c | 7,450$4,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.55 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 75c | 7,304$5,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.14 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed OG | 78c | 7,303$5,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.05 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed OG | 68c | 6,586$4,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.95 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Grind Back | 32c | 6,560$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.3 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Grind Back | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…ac77backed Grind Back | 41c | 4,699$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed OG | 65c | 4,437$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.01 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Grind Back | 38c | 3,755$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.31 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Grind Back | 37c | 3,743$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.05 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed OG | 64c | 3,316$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.88 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked OG | 66c | 3,104$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.52 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Grind Back | 37c | 2,844$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.86 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Grind Back | 22c | 2,700$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.46 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed OG | 80c | 2,550$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.7 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed OG | 79c | 2,450$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.18 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Grind Back | 37c | 2,384$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.58 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grind Back | 34c | 2,285$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.81 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed OG | 78c | 2,256$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.55 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed OG | 55c | 2,179$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.25 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed OG | 72c | 2,162$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.82 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Grind Back | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Grind Back | 46c | 1,914$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.72 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed OG | 66c | 1,854$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.21 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Grind Back | 63c | 1,691$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.05 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Grind Back | 12c | 1,650$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.49 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked OG | 64c | 1,575$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked OG | 66c | 1,568$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.13 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Grind Back | 36c | 1,529$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Grind Back | 41c | 1,527$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.94 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed OG | 78c | 1,507$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.49 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Grind Back | 22c | 1,500$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed OG | 40c | 1,493$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.41 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed OG | 67c | 1,435$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.58 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked Grind Back | 43c | 1,387$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.88 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked OG | 66c | 1,368$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.29 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Grind Back | 22c | 1,344$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.79 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Grind Back | 34c | 1,320$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.56 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Grind Back | 33c | 1,250$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.56 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Grind Back | 3c | 1,235$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Grind Back | 35c | 1,177$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.58 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Grind Back | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Grind Back | 35c | 1,151$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.5 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed OG | 49c | 1,140$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.4 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Grind Back | 39c | 1,139$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.84 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked OG | 72c | 1,108$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.08 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Grind Back | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…18a3backed OG | 64c | 1,085$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked OG | 67c | 1,049$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.39 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grind Back | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…184abacked OG | 71c | 1,000$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Grind Back | 37c | 992.47$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.68 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Grind Back | 16c | 981.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.21 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed OG | 73c | 974.62$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.7 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Grind Back | 42c | 953.91$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.9 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Grind Back | 36c | 950$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.5 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked OG | 63c | 937.66$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.93 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Grind Back | 23c | 931.02$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.45 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Grind Back | 61c | 890.55$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.22 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Grind Back | 34c | 880.71$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.58 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed OG | 50c | 858$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed OG | 62c | 848.78$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.52 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Grind Back | 8c | 832.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Grind Back | 12c | 788$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed OG | 62c | 781.26$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Grind Back | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Grind Back | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Grind Back | 35c | 749.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked OG | 66c | 727.96$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.14 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked OG | 48c | 718.67$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.96 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed OG | 64c | 715.26$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed OG | 64c | 702.02$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.58 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Grind Back | 29c | 694.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed OG | 65c | 692.3$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.3 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Grind Back | 44c | 685.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Grind Back | 22c | 673.55$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked OG | 78c | 660.83$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.85 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…7442backed Grind Back | 38c | 650$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Grind Back | 36c | 626.97$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.44 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Grind Back | 33c | 621$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.93 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed OG | 65c | 604.07$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.01 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f0…6da2backed Grind Back | 35c | 603.57$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked OG | 54c | 596.3$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.3 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…c2f5backed Grind Back | 16c | 590$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed OG | 71c | 566.97$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.16 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Grind Back | 46c | 563.76$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.04 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked OG | 66c | 557.14$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Grind Back | 34c | 552.38$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.87 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed Grind Back | 72c | 516.97$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 117 | 77.8%91 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 1 WinnerGrind Back won
- Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 2 WinnerOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 3 WinnerOG won
- Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs Grind Back (+1.5)OG won
- Game Handicap: OG (-2.5) vs Grind Back (+2.5)Grind Back won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.