Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ffe01e6ee388eaa4478913fcfe860f0c9cf50533fb803c2cbbef7ffb34855c7

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Grind Backof OG, Grind Back
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $304,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $351,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,883 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed OG	55c	69,269$37,909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,909.01	1,210	57.1%691 W · 519 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Grind Back	35c	25,079$8,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,198.98	897	41.5%372 W · 525 L	+22.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed OG	58c	18,803$10,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,983.17	714	54.5%389 W · 325 L	+55.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked OG	64c	16,102$10,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,252.02	179	48.6%87 W · 92 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed OG	65c	13,734$8,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,958.5	97	33%32 W · 65 L	-8.9wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Grind Back	57c	11,368$6,457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,911.5	159	51.6%82 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Grind Back	40c	11,051$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,651.23	1,186	43.2%512 W · 674 L	+42.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Grind Back	44c	9,937$4,395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,541.15	569	55.5%316 W · 253 L	+22.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked Grind Back	47c	8,862$4,194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,667.6	235	61.7%145 W · 90 L	+19.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Grind Back	43c	7,658$3,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,343.37	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Grind Back	45c	7,338$3,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,047.37	1,202	59.3%713 W · 489 L	+64.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed OG	52c	4,768$2,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,463.03	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Grind Back	45c	3,968$1,788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,179.94	362	48.6%176 W · 186 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Grind Back	49c	3,842$1,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,943.65	965	57.4%554 W · 411 L	+49.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3de…6fe8backed OG	67c	3,597$2,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,410.26	100	75%75 W · 25 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	72cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed Grind Back	41c	3,216$1,323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,892.51	100	51%51 W · 49 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Grind Back	36c	3,087$1,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,974.09	283	41%116 W · 167 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed OG	58c	3,000$1,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,729.99	799	59.4%475 W · 324 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked OG	58c	2,922$1,686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,686	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-13%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6b6backed Grind Back	35c	2,740$956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,783.37	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Grind Back	40c	2,676$1,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,595.32	1,066	57%608 W · 458 L	+52.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Grind Back	55c	2,661$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200.11	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked OG	64c	2,567$1,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,643.08	658	63.1%415 W · 243 L	+17.5wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Grind Back	44c	2,500$1,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,411.76	802	56%449 W · 353 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20a9…18a3backed Grind Back	34c	2,420$811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,608.55	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Grind Back	36c	2,416$866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,550.4	357	37%132 W · 225 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Grind Back	37c	2,316$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,466.07	268	43.7%117 W · 151 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed OG	58c	2,282$1,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,321.16	334	53%177 W · 157 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Grind Back	35c	2,009$703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,305.55	536	52.6%282 W · 254 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Grind Back	49c	1,993$977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,015.92	150	50%75 W · 75 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed OG	49c	1,750$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$855	235	29.4%69 W · 166 L	-21.5wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked Grind Back	41c	1,644$674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$969.73	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Grind Back	68c	1,622$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.05	303	56.4%171 W · 132 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Grind Back	61c	1,600$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620	344	42.2%145 W · 199 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed OG	62c	1,594$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$994.18	433	44.8%194 W · 239 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked OG	75c	1,565$1,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,173.75	127	64.6%82 W · 45 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	70cpaid	-8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…46ddbacked Grind Back	35c	1,503$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$978.43	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked OG	56c	1,493$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.46	220	31.8%70 W · 150 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked OG	64c	1,482$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$948.49	359	60.4%217 W · 142 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Grind Back	37c	1,420$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896.1	324	41.7%135 W · 189 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Grind Back	45c	1,395$634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$761.07	441	49.4%218 W · 223 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked OG	46c	1,309$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Grind Back	53c	1,263$668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594.37	330	41.8%138 W · 192 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52f9…1fb2backed Grind Back	41c	1,226$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$726.17	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG	60c	1,199$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.45	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked OG	51c	1,173$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	120	60.8%73 W · 47 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Grind Back	54c	1,173$631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.29	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked OG	53c	1,122$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.25	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-3.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed OG	58c	1,079$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.29	207	67.1%139 W · 68 L	+10.7wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed OG	54c	1,057$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.65	503	53.9%271 W · 232 L	+26.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked OG	60c	1,037$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.32	966	45.1%436 W · 530 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed OG	66c	1,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	1,164	47.2%549 W · 615 L	-29.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad09…612cbacked Grind Back	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked OG	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed OG	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	211	0.5%1 W · 210 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-99.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed OG	58c	1,000$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Grind Back	40c	999.99$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.99	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked OG	67c	981$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.88	866	59.6%516 W · 350 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Grind Back	35c	976.22$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.54	1,248	44.4%554 W · 694 L	+17.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked OG	56c	948.55$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.81	85	38.8%33 W · 52 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Grind Back	52c	947.58$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.07	998	44.4%443 W · 555 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Grind Back	34c	936.98$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.78	885	39.7%351 W · 534 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Grind Back	40c	923.67$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.78	1,275	33.5%427 W · 848 L	-15.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9705…7442backed Grind Back	41c	899.99$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.99	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Grind Back	46c	859$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.04	351	51.3%180 W · 171 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked OG	54c	799.98$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.99	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43dc…86e1backed Grind Back	50c	798.56$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.56	242	44.6%108 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked OG	45c	792.77$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.52	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed OG	65c	775.94$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.8	537	58.8%316 W · 221 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c13…71a1backed Grind Back	40c	749.97$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.98	45	40%18 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf05…5efcbacked OG	37c	717.99$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.64	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.14per pick	21cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5b1…1b71backed Grind Back	47c	702.29$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.29	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Grind Back	44c	680.96$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.26	414	55.6%230 W · 184 L	+41.4wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Grind Back	39c	680.77$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.5	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Grind Back	45c	669.64$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.64	1,137	42.3%481 W · 656 L	-27.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed OG	33c	650.32$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214	160	58.8%94 W · 66 L	+9.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Grind Back	41c	640.24$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.74	177	57.6%102 W · 75 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed OG	65c	623.72$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.18	292	43.2%126 W · 166 L	-14.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed OG	5c	599.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	113	53.1%60 W · 53 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Grind Back	38c	599.96$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.98	437	38.4%168 W · 269 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Grind Back	40c	595.31$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.87	711	43%306 W · 405 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Grind Back	47c	583.6$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.84	310	52.6%163 W · 147 L	+15.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed Grind Back	35c	570$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.5	156	39.1%61 W · 95 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41a0…87e7backed OG	55c	538.76$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.28	109	33%36 W · 73 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed OG	55c	500.01$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.34	628	41.1%258 W · 370 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed OG	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	118	36.4%43 W · 75 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked OG	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	193	38.9%75 W · 118 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked OG	62c	500$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311	280	50%140 W · 140 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Grind Back	60c	490.25$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.1	338	67.8%229 W · 109 L	+16.0wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Grind Back	40c	481.8$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.86	178	52.8%94 W · 84 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4867…8e92backed OG	62c	459.04$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.06	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	63cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed Grind Back	50c	453.2$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.39	211	58.3%123 W · 88 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb24f…3432backed OG	51c	450$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Grind Back	40c	447.82$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.69	583	56.8%331 W · 252 L	+28.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x924b…4aeebacked OG	57c	441.16$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Grind Back	34c	429.88$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.72	146	55.5%81 W · 65 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Grind Back	42c	416.28$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.44	876	45.7%400 W · 476 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Grind Back	43c	405.27$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.96	261	47.9%125 W · 136 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Grind Back	45c	392$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.27	410	50.2%206 W · 204 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked OG	71c	389.8$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.05	176	47.2%83 W · 93 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsOG won
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 2 WinnerOG won
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 3 WinnerOG won
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 WinnerOG won
Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs Grind Back (+1.5)OG won
Game Handicap: OG (-2.5) vs Grind Back (+2.5)Grind Back won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event