Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6fd9d4226803676a3dbd7ed1c6a148ad87ca5d232df17c725f5c4387389f327
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Grind Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $294,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed OG | 58c | 27,162$15,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,362.02 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Grind Back | 25c | 25,000$6,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,294.97 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Grind Back | 36c | 19,999$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.62 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Grind Back | 39c | 16,540$6,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,486.37 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 65c | 12,577$8,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,463.33 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed OG | 64c | 11,574$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.2 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed OG | 61c | 7,835$4,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.16 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Grind Back | 51c | 6,337$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.23 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked OG | 62c | 5,935$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.48 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked OG | 63c | 5,750$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 40c | 5,538$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322.9 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Grind Back | 32c | 3,711$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.5 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Grind Back | 57c | 3,483$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.81 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Grind Back | 36c | 3,451$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.54 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Grind Back | 44c | 3,247$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.95 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Grind Back | 56c | 3,047$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.41 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked OG | 40c | 3,003$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.42 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Grind Back | 60c | 2,823$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.49 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked OG | 69c | 2,760$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.59 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Grind Back | 54c | 2,477$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Grind Back | 38c | 2,442$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.66 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked OG | 63c | 2,427$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.92 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grind Back | 63c | 2,304$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.45 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Grind Back | 34c | 2,272$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.62 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Grind Back | 39c | 2,260$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.4 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed OG | 65c | 2,204$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.92 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked OG | 56c | 2,095$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.8 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed OG | 66c | 1,886$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.09 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Grind Back | 50c | 1,795$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.69 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed Grind Back | 37c | 1,733$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Grind Back | 51c | 1,722$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.08 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked OG | 63c | 1,605$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.91 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Grind Back | 63c | 1,597$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.84 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Grind Back | 58c | 1,542$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…612cbacked Grind Back | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Grind Back | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed OG | 42c | 1,328$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.87 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed OG | 61c | 1,260$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.09 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Grind Back | 35c | 1,131$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.47 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Grind Back | 31c | 1,131$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.08 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed OG | 64c | 1,122$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.46 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed OG | 61c | 1,080$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.67 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Grind Back | 34c | 1,074$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.02 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Grind Back | 35c | 1,056$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.44 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed Grind Back | 37c | 1,047$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.26 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x158e…216bbacked Grind Back | 2c | 1,041$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Grind Back | 59c | 1,026$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.33 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Grind Back | 35c | 1,017$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.02 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed Grind Back | 39c | 1,004$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.64 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed OG | 61c | 1,000$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.8 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked OG | 33c | 1,000$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Grind Back | 31c | 959.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Grind Back | 58c | 899.86$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.03 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed OG | 65c | 879.78$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.94 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Grind Back | 61c | 874.52$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.83 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed OG | 50c | 858$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Grind Back | 52c | 832.84$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.92 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked OG | 66c | 831.47$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.02 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Grind Back | 5c | 825.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Grind Back | 40c | 810$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.1 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Grind Back | 37c | 806.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked OG | 50c | 802.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed OG | 32c | 801.28$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.28 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Grind Back | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Grind Back | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed OG | 64c | 725.75$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.36 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Grind Back | 57c | 704.29$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.2 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Grind Back | 44c | 700$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.11 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Grind Back | 33c | 692$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.76 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked OG | 29c | 642$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.07 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Grind Back | 9c | 629.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Grind Back | 54c | 617.13$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed Grind Back | 63c | 606.43$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.33 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Grind Back | 44c | 605$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.55 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Grind Back | 49c | 577.65$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.52 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed OG | 63c | 574.99$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked OG | 37c | 561.12$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.12 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Grind Back | 4c | 550$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed OG | 36c | 549.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Grind Back | 54c | 533.4$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.23 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Grind Back | 32c | 532.5$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Grind Back | 49c | 528.9$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.06 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Grind Back | 36c | 528.89$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.11 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Grind Back | 39c | 518.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…9d0bbacked Grind Back | 79c | 506.58$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Grind Back | 39c | 502.51$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.98 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed OG | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed OG | 38c | 482.92$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.36 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Grind Back | 35c | 480$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.49 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked OG | 68c | 477$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.02 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Grind Back | 35c | 470.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.27 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed OG | 67c | 462.69$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.69 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Grind Back | 36c | 460$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.2 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0452…843cbacked Grind Back | 64c | 459.76$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.44 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Grind Back | 38c | 458.35$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.17 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed OG | 64c | 449$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.3 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Grind Back | 54c | 444.28$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.72 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed OG | 70c | 421.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed OG | 53c | 417.46$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.06 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 1 WinnerGrind Back won
- Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 3 WinnerOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 WinnerOG won
- Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs Grind Back (+1.5)OG won
- Game Handicap: OG (-2.5) vs Grind Back (+2.5)Grind Back won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.