Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e94718d0b682b0304222da4bc4f7a1147656654989ea078148a8fe048961c9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grind Backof Execration, Grind Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Grind Back | 65c | 16,035$10,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,566.6 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Grind Back | 67c | 10,915$7,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.21 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Grind Back | 64c | 9,750$6,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.47 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Execration | 20c | 9,060$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.69 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Execration | 32c | 7,178$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.14 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Execration | 37c | 6,593$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.7 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Execration | 42c | 5,440$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.07 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Execration | 36c | 5,425$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.47 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Execration | 33c | 4,324$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.63 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Execration | 35c | 3,824$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.68 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Grind Back | 59c | 3,397$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.05 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Execration | 32c | 3,135$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.72 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Execration | 35c | 2,541$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Execration | 37c | 2,106$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.65 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Execration | 24c | 1,803$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.41 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Grind Back | 66c | 1,640$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.47 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Grind Back | 58c | 1,623$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.01 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Grind Back | 70c | 1,587$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.16 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Execration | 39c | 1,538$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Grind Back | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Execration | 34c | 1,487$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Execration | 33c | 1,361$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.29 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Execration | 35c | 1,253$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.4 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Grind Back | 59c | 1,111$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.51 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Grind Back | 67c | 1,102$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.69 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Execration | 3c | 1,100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Grind Back | 61c | 1,085$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.18 | 322 | 41.6%134 W · 188 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Execration | 36c | 1,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Execration | 36c | 988.1$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.16 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Grind Back | 76c | 985.07$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.82 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Execration | 36c | 960.99$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.54 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Grind Back | 58c | 861.84$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.04 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed Grind Back | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Execration | 33c | 821.59$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Grind Back | 79c | 818.04$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.61 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Grind Back | 66c | 808.04$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.77 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Grind Back | 78c | 800$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.52 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Execration | 37c | 735.01$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.94 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Grind Back | 72c | 726.75$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.49 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Execration | 38c | 721.66$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.21 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Grind Back | 65c | 703.13$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.37 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Execration | 42c | 700$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked Execration | 31c | 681.7$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.31 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Execration | 39c | 665.19$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Execration | 28c | 660.46$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.93 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Execration | 39c | 639.24$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Grind Back | 73c | 624.22$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.06 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Grind Back | 57c | 607.4$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.47 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Execration | 43c | 579$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.97 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Execration | 20c | 564.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Execration | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed Execration | 42c | 547.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Grind Back | 73c | 547.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Grind Back | 63c | 533.22$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Execration | 6c | 532.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Execration | 39c | 506.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Grind Back | 59c | 504.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.93 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Execration | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Execration | 36c | 497$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.09 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Execration | 38c | 495.81$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.64 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Execration | 41c | 495.24$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 402 | 42.3%170 W · 232 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Execration | 38c | 479.61$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.58 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Grind Back | 64c | 468$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed Grind Back | 65c | 461.44$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.23 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Execration | 40c | 457.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.31 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…f9c4backed Execration | 46c | 448.65$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.38 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Grind Back | 69c | 430.41$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.53 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Grind Back | 63c | 424.54$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Execration | 37c | 408.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.63 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…7442backed Execration | 10c | 399.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Execration | 42c | 392.86$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Grind Back | 79c | 382$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 563 | 48.1%271 W · 292 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Execration | 33c | 364.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Execration | 42c | 358.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Grind Back | 74c | 346.3$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Grind Back | 73c | 314.63$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Execration | 41c | 299.97$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Grind Back | 64c | 293.75$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Execration | 34c | 288.4$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…b972backed Execration | 32c | 284.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Execration | 41c | 270$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Grind Back | 58c | 263.3$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Execration | 40c | 261$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Execration | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Grind Back | 80c | 248.84$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Execration | 39c | 243.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Execration | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Execration | 26c | 235.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Execration | 36c | 233.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Grind Back | 75c | 231.91$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Execration | 33c | 205.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Execration | 34c | 203.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 583 | 46.3%270 W · 313 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Execration | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Grind Back | 72c | 179.01$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Execration | 22c | 172$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed Execration | 37c | 170$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Grind Back | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…87babacked Grind Back | 60c | 163.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Execration | 29c | 162.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Execration | 20c | 161.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGrind Back won
- Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 2 WinnerGrind Back won
- Game Handicap: XctN (-1.5) vs Grind Back (+1.5)Grind Back won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.