Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8415d98b9a074de5cb1e140739f1a13b11f4b314f3af6ebcff67c2ed7e83d19a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grind Backof Execration, Grind Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Grind Back | 55c | 44,136$24,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,949.07 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Grind Back | 78c | 12,355$9,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.94 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Execration | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.97 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Execration | 42c | 8,224$3,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.96 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Execration | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Grind Back | 65c | 7,582$4,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.96 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Execration | 47c | 6,750$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.45 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Execration | 43c | 6,146$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.22 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Grind Back | 51c | 5,091$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.32 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Execration | 18c | 4,441$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.9 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Grind Back | 61c | 3,372$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.02 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Execration | 34c | 3,300$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.99 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Execration | 38c | 3,024$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.91 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Grind Back | 62c | 2,910$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.67 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Execration | 39c | 2,659$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.04 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Execration | 51c | 2,565$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Execration | 37c | 2,556$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.5 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Execration | 11c | 2,100$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Execration | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grind Back | 56c | 1,934$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.89 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Grind Back | 66c | 1,928$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.9 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Execration | 41c | 1,875$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.21 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Execration | 47c | 1,865$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.82 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Execration | 31c | 1,788$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.39 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Execration | 4c | 1,743$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Execration | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.98 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Grind Back | 71c | 1,437$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.26 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed Execration | 38c | 1,346$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.37 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…efabbacked Grind Back | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Execration | 45c | 1,229$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Grind Back | 57c | 1,208$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.79 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Grind Back | 70c | 1,101$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.26 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Execration | 33c | 1,032$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.01 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Execration | 49c | 1,003$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.17 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Grind Back | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Execration | 41c | 989.2$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.67 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Execration | 39c | 952.34$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.15 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Grind Back | 57c | 940$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.43 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Execration | 40c | 934.62$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.18 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Execration | 47c | 914.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.05 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Execration | 47c | 852.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Execration | 3c | 849.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Execration | 49c | 832.83$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.14 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Execration | 5c | 819.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…7442backed Execration | 38c | 799.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Grind Back | 55c | 770.58$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.97 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Execration | 38c | 724.53$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.8 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Grind Back | 61c | 700$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Execration | 37c | 654.82$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Execration | 28c | 649.97$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Execration | 48c | 626$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.55 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Execration | 34c | 581.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Grind Back | 75c | 556.01$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.93 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Execration | 20c | 556$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Execration | 41c | 540.77$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Grind Back | 66c | 506.99$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.02 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Grind Back | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Execration | 49c | 497.64$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.08 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Execration | 38c | 440$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Grind Back | 62c | 432.03$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Execration | 48c | 415.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Grind Back | 63c | 405$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.25 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Execration | 49c | 401.39$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.46 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Grind Back | 62c | 356.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Execration | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Grind Back | 74c | 338.02$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Grind Back | 53c | 336.76$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Grind Back | 61c | 326.06$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.16 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed Execration | 49c | 308.63$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.54 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Grind Back | 51c | 304.66$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.15 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Execration | 36c | 302.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Execration | 50c | 300.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Execration | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Grind Back | 55c | 290$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Execration | 18c | 281.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Execration | 44c | 275.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed Grind Back | 53c | 262.83$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.83 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Grind Back | 60c | 252.5$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Execration | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Execration | 47c | 250$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…443bbacked Grind Back | 57c | 250$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…184abacked Grind Back | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Grind Back | 40c | 245.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.1 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Grind Back | 66c | 244.38$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Execration | 5c | 239.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grind Back | 68c | 232.3$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Execration | 38c | 222.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Execration | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10c0…4dcabacked Grind Back | 62c | 209.52$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.45 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Execration | 38c | 207.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Execration | 33c | 202.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Execration | 38c | 202.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Execration | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Execration | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Grind Back | 70c | 194.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Execration | 40c | 189.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0452…843cbacked Grind Back | 61c | 188.44$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…f70cbacked Grind Back | 67c | 181$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Grind Back | 58c | 176.09$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Execration | 40c | 175.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGrind Back won
- Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 1 WinnerGrind Back won
- Game Handicap: XctN (-1.5) vs Grind Back (+1.5)Grind Back won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.