TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f9b…efab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked Benched gods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,847Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$1,785.57
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Benched gods - Map 2 Winnerbacked Benched gods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$869.9
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Benched gods - Map 2 Winnerbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$723.77
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked mellren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$832
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs mellren - Map 2 Winnerbacked mellren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$831Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$831.36
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.28
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Next UP - Map 2 Winnerbacked mellren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,334Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$658.66
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$506.9
Counter-Strike: TrafficPills Esports vs TheBoys (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked TrafficPills Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.24
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,526Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$975.39
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Sashi Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+172.8%+$2,713.26
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs FURIA (+2.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,086Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+426.5%+$4,631.41
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$335.39
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$296
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.99
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$556.9
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$187.83
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$261.8
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: la Masia vs RED Canids (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Playoffsbacked la Masia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$333
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Cbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Valorant: Twisted Saints Esports vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Abacked Pixel Lumina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$306.59
Valorant: FOKUS vs Formulation Gaming (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Abacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.8
Map Handicap: MDR (-1.5) vs la Masia (+1.5)backed Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$378
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,545Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,264.24
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs AlQadsiah Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Abacked Beşiktaş Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Abacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs T1 Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$269.99
Map Handicap: FKS (-1.5) vs MIR (+1.5)backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$357
Valorant: FOKUS vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Cbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.84
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Dbacked Team Liquid Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Valorant: Mandatory vs AlQadsiah Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Abacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$432.75
Map Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs Pixel Lumina (+1.5)backed UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.99
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs REBORN - Map 3 Winnerbacked REBORN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$96.76
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$500
Game Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Inner Circle (+1.5)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.69
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 1 Winnerbacked GG Boom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.6
Dota 2: Ignite vs Ttgame - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ignite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$156
Game Handicap: VP.P (-1.5) vs BALU (+1.5)backed VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.1
Game Handicap: Amaru Gaming (-1.5) vs Chandogs (+1.5)backed Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$294.77
Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Flame Team (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,559.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffsbacked Bubliki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,061Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$1,000.17
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.