CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x067918ac80cf4f6e410815f8ac83ba294882d1f9c3fe2538f413433f6be4bd9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof paiN, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked paiN | 37c | 4,276$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.07 | 222 | 30.2%67 W · 155 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Phantom | 63c | 4,062$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.45 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Phantom | 53c | 2,200$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Phantom | 31c | 1,469$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.06 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed paiN | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked paiN | 47c | 698.74$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.91 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Phantom | 62c | 645.16$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.1 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed paiN | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed paiN | 50c | 491$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.5 | 161 | 38.5%62 W · 99 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…d60bbacked paiN | 41c | 483.98$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.04 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Phantom | 61c | 462.71$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.31 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Phantom | 68c | 453.94$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.39 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked paiN | 41c | 399.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Phantom | 59c | 338.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.56 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked paiN | 43c | 290.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 659 | 50.4%332 W · 327 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Phantom | 57c | 290.7$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 368 | 45.1%166 W · 202 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed paiN | 66c | 269.59$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.47 | 373 | 46.1%172 W · 201 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phantom | 58c | 265.09$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.68 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Phantom | 62c | 263.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 747 | 54.6%408 W · 339 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Phantom | 61c | 249.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…9378backed paiN | 39c | 203.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked paiN | 13c | 198.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 286 | 37.4%107 W · 179 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Phantom | 59c | 162.66$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Phantom | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Phantom | 73c | 132.46$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed paiN | 35c | 119.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Phantom | 62c | 114.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed paiN | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked paiN | 39c | 104$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked paiN | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Phantom | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 687 | 49.6%341 W · 346 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed paiN | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Phantom | 57c | 96.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked paiN | 39c | 94.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 503 | 49.3%248 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed paiN | 40c | 91.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 577 | 40.4%233 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Phantom | 60c | 83.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 499 | 52.3%261 W · 238 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked Phantom | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked paiN | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked paiN | 38c | 69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed paiN | 38c | 66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Phantom | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Phantom | 63c | 48.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed paiN | 37c | 29.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…efabbacked paiN | 43c | 29.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed paiN | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Phantom | 59c | 28.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…3e90backed Phantom | 60c | 26.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.