TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Phantomof paiN, Phantom
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,758
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,758 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Phantom75c9,296$6,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.0863157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Phantom39c6,832$2,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,133.6481843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed Phantom64c3,067$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.9419057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed paiN75c2,947$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked paiN46c2,463$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.052,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed paiN68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.9936645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked paiN39c1,981$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.653,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed paiN25c1,828$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.934934.7%17 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Phantom30c1,735$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.3915637.2%58 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed paiN40c1,552$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.526,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Phantom62c1,364$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.881,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked paiN63c1,354$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85019357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Phantom26c1,250$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.9815838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed paiN69c1,044$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.5436446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed paiN13c860.72$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0313342.1%56 W · 77 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked paiN41c852.59$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.1340137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked paiN48c833.76$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.493,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Phantom61c800.81$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.849646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Phantom39c799.88$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.652,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Phantom52c750$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36017759.9%106 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed paiN69c730.31$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.5561034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed paiN74c675.68$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013454.5%73 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked paiN25c620.29$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.013,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x765a…5ce4backed paiN68c499.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9914949%73 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Phantom49c483.95$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.3242154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked paiN73c482.23$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.6625651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed Phantom52c462.17$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.175048%24 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked paiN24c458.68$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.821,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked paiN8c453.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3226653.4%142 W · 124 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Phantom57c451.93$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.014,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1991…348ebacked Phantom59c450.01$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18619150.3%96 W · 95 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Phantom70c379.31$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf20c…f4c7backed Phantom30c363.51$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.519960.6%60 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked paiN42c359.6$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.772,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed paiN58c353.33$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.2352150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked paiN36c341.32$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.194,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed paiN22c327.32$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.791,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b50…fd61backed Phantom29c290$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.92343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed paiN18c277.16$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.112,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed paiN73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed paiN74c264.6$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5140558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN68c261.87$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.252,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked paiN73c259.34$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3219548.2%94 W · 101 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed paiN56c258$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5828651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed paiN66c250$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.593261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Phantom27c249.98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4985851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked paiN29c245.38$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.430223.2%70 W · 232 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e9…d246backed paiN73c234.3$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0426368.8%181 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked paiN72c224.81$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.31844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed paiN29c219.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7955941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d43…3f6cbacked paiN74c206.82$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0517467.8%118 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed paiN66c204.16$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.721,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Phantom39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1221,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Phantom54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9214351.7%74 W · 69 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed paiN67c195.32$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13024842.3%105 W · 143 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom37c194.05$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.557,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked paiN65c185.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.221,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a0…18ffbacked Phantom37c168$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.843764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed paiN24c163.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.066942%29 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked paiN49c157.75$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8643237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Phantom32c157.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3152837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Phantom33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5213147.3%62 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed paiN62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9327156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Phantom34c147.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1632844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Phantom55c142.52$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.614,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed paiN67c139.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2939258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba46…6ac5backed paiN72c138.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007374%54 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked Phantom73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9910457.7%60 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed Phantom36c132.22$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6216349.1%80 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3edb…11b8backed paiN38c129.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.248541.2%35 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed paiN53c124.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9358745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed paiN61c122.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7535148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Phantom51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6524260.3%146 W · 96 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked paiN35c112$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.321,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Phantom43c111.22$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0113754%74 W · 63 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe865…ae26backed paiN54c102.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.312416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-69.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed paiN53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.524756.7%140 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Phantom65c98.2$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3722053.2%117 W · 103 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9328…db92backed Phantom77c94.34$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0420…58bbbacked Phantom38c90.7$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.242213.6%3 W · 19 L-5.7wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-73.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x30dc…f26ebacked Phantom27c88.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8916236.4%59 W · 103 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece3…19ddbacked paiN69c86.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked paiN59c82.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.877536%27 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Phantom56c81.37$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.982,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed paiN66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036749.3%181 W · 186 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked paiN71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked paiN53c67.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3614661.6%90 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed paiN33c67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.422,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Phantom35c64.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6751348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Phantom35c63.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2189046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Phantom27c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.810146.5%47 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba2…1acabacked Phantom26c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.45217.3%9 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7401…c482backed Phantom27c56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.882951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked paiN25c50.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5636434.1%124 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked paiN40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked paiN41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.712,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked paiN66c45.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6167547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed paiN64c43.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288253.7%44 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked paiN68c42.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0340140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Phantom65c42.05$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8313871%98 W · 40 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.