CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7e44d79f47d3b3a1d99a53b7f9466e3fa7561d55e92758d31c2977d2a46441e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Under | 66c | 1,565$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.85 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Under | 12c | 1,020$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 35c | 990$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.45 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 58c | 649.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.55 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 33c | 495.19$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.78 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 36c | 367.03$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…9fdabacked Over | 40c | 296.55$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.09 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 66c | 164.46$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 47c | 119.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 34c | 115$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 68c | 46.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 54c | 43.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 35c | 42.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Under | 70c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Under | 70c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…16a7backed Over | 46c | 23.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153f…5c66backed Over | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)Phantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.